2019-20 Premier League Preview: See Ya Later? Brighton & Burnley Are Relegation Candidates

Posted By Chops on August 3, 2019

Yesterday, we covered the three newly promoted teams: Aston Villa, Norwich City, and Sheffield United.

This 2019-20 Premier League preview will discuss the teams that we (and oddsmakers) think will be heading to the Championship division next year.

As written yesterday, Norwich City and Sheffield United are clear and obvious relegation candidates.

Who will be fighting with them to stay clear of the relegation zone?

Brighton & Hove Albion 2019-20 Premier League Preview

Last Season: 17th (two points clear of relegation)
Last time relegated: 2015-16
Stadium: Falmer Stadium
Nickname: The Seagulls
Manager: Graham Potter
Key Additions: Adam Webster, Leandro Trossard, Matt Clarke
Best Player: Shane Duffy

Shane Duffy is one of the few reasons to cheer for Brighton & Hove.

For a fleeting moment on the final matchday of last season, Brighton & Hove Albion were the darlings of the Premier League.

They had just gone up 1-0 on FFP violating Manchester City, making Liverpool the live table trophy winners. Then…seconds later…City responded…and eventually ran them off the field 4-1.

That game was a microcosm of the Brighton season. Fleeting moments of quality followed by a lot of dreariness. Expect that output to roll-over into this campaign.

A bit of Brighton history:

  • The club was founded in June 1901.
  • They have a FA Cup final appearance in 1983🤷‍♂️

Why you should like Brighton:

  • Their all black away kit is pretty basic but very clean.
  • American Express is their jersey sponsor. USA? USA?
  • Their squad features guys with the last name Dunk (although he may be on the move), Burn, Bong, Propper and Gross.
  • Glenn Murray is old af (35) and is their top goal scorer.

Brighton betting odds: (odds via DraftKings Sportsbook NJ)

  • To win Premier League: +150000
  • To finish top 4: +25000
  • To finish top 6: +8000
  • Relegation: +180

Brighton Outlook:

Brighton has been treading on that relegation line for most of the past two seasons. This one will be no different.

They have made two key additions though in center-back Adam Webster (paving the way for Lewis Dunk to move to Leicester City) and attacking mid Leandro Trossard. The statistical impact of Trossard’s move from Genk is hard to quantify, but Webster was one of the top center-backs in the Championship last year and should be a positive addition. At 24, he’s younger than Dunk and might already be better.

Unless Trossard is the second coming of Kevin de Bruyne (he’s not), Brighton still won’t score, which was their major issue last year (35 goals, 4th worst in the Premier League). Given their top goal scorer is 35 years old and will likely decline in production this year, Brighton is going to need a few lucky breaks to stay in the top flight.

Burnley 2019-20 Premier League Preview

Last Season: 15th
Last time relegated: 2015-16
Stadium: Turf Moor
Nickname: The Clarets
Manager: Sam Dyche
Key Additions: Jay Rodriguez, Bailey Peacock-Farrell
Best Player: James Tarkowski

Can Jay Rodriguez find the back of the net enough for Burnley to stay up?

Burnley is a tough squad to peg. Two years ago, they finished a shocking 7th in the Premier League. Last year, they were 15th, but with decent runs of form here and there.

They’re a physical group. Not fun to play against. Their best players are all defenders yet they gave up 68 goals last year. They’re going to fight hard every match, which is good, because they’ll be battling to stay in the Premier League all season.

A bit of Burnley history:

  • They were founded in 1882, so they’ve been around for 137 years.
  • Despite their longevity, they’ve only one England’s top division twice (last time being 1959-60).
  • They’ve won the Championship division 3 times.
  • They have 1 FA Cup win, albeit back in 1913-14.

Why you should like Burnley:

  • There’s a lot of reasons, starting with their support. In a town of 73,000 people, they regularly draw 20,000+ to games.
  • Their fans include Prince Charles AND Chumbawamba. Very fitting, as Burnley will get knocked down, but they’ll get up again.
  • The third Burnley Puma away kit is pretty sharp.

Burnley betting odds: (odds via DraftKings Sportsbook NJ)

  • To win Premier League: +150000
  • To finish top 4: +25000
  • To finish top 6: +8000
  • Relegation: +180

Burnley Outlook:

At +180, oddsmakers give Burnley the same chance to be relegated as Brighton. However, there’s a little more talent at Burnley and recent history of better form.

This simply may come down to whether new addition Jay Rodriguez can match just half of the goal tally (22) he produced for last year’s Championship side West Brom. When you’re battling relegation, the benefit of a point here and there makes all the difference.

The reality is, barring injuries or doofusy Steve Bruce incompetence at Newcastle, the relegated teams are going to come from the grouping of Sheffield (-150), Norwich (-108), Burnley (+180) or Brighton (+180).

Burnley seems like the safest bet to stay up, hovering around that 15-17th range come May.

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Chops is the executive producer of High Press Soccer. He's an unabashed Liverpool fan who will absolutely let that bias seep into his reporting and analysis.

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