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June 28, 2019

2019 Women’s World Cup Title Odds (UPDATED)

High Press 10 June 28, 2019

UPDATE: The following post will be updated after each round of games throughout the tournament.

The 2019 FIFA Women’s World Cup takes place June 07 – July 07 in France.

Defending champs and top overall seed the USWNT are part of a 24-team field. They’ll face strong competition from perennial contenders Germany, France, and Japan, as well as surging England.

Chile, Jamaica, Scotland, and South Africa are made their World Cup debuts.

The knockout round stage of the World Cup begins Saturday, June 22nd. Here are updated odds and props for the tournament.

Women’s World Cup Title Odds

07/07/19 Update: After the USWNT defeated France and England, the Americans find themselves as heavy favorites to win.

Sweden’s surprise upset of Germany boosted the Netherlands’ odds the most. They originally jumped from +900 to +450. However, after the US defeated England, the Netherlands fell back to +600.

Here are odds for the consensus title contenders. If you’re unfamiliar with soccer betting, read our how to bet soccer.

USA -435
Eliminated
Netherlands +320

Eliminated

2019 Women’s World Cup Prop Bets

With England (and Ellen White) eliminated, the Golden Boot is all Alex Morgan’s to lose. Golden Boot odds are:

  • Alex Morgan -250
  • Megan Rapinoe +650
  • Vivianne Miedema +6000
  • Stina Blackstenius  +25000

It would take a herculean effort for Miedema to capture the Golden Boot, as she’s at 3 goals. However, $10 at +6000 is worth a flier.

Megan Rapinoe Scores Twice as USWNT Advance to World Cup Semifinal

High Press 10 June 28, 2019

So much for Megan Rapinoe’s war of words with President Donald Trump being a distraction.

The USWNT defeated France 2-1 Friday as Megan Rapinoe netted another brace sending the Americans to the 2019 Women’s World Cup semifinal.

Rapinoe has scored four straight goals for the USWNT, the first time that’s happened in the squad’s history. She’s also the first women’s national player to ever score two goals in consecutive World Cup knockout games.

Rapinoe delivers bigly again

The US got off to yet another fast start in this one.

In the fifth minute, Rapinoe converted a free kick (thanks in part to a great shield and leave by Julie Ertz) to give the US a 1-0 lead.

Both teams created a number of opportunities but neither could break through.

That changed and escalated quickly beginning in the 65th minute.

Tobin Heath drove forward and found Rapinoe on a cross, giving the US a 2-0 lead.

Heath almost scored one of her own in the 76th minute, but it was called back after a questionable off-sides call.

France got one back on yet another Wendie Renard set piece header in the 81st minute.

Both teams played on their front foot the rest of the game, but time expired with the US holding on to a 2-1 win.

With her two goals today, Rapinoe ties teammate Alex Morgan for the Golden Boot lead.

US now odds-on favorites

The US advance to the semifinals of the World Cup for the eight straight time. They’ll play England on Tuesday, July 2nd.

With the win, the US find themselves as odds-on favorites to repeat as champs. England will be the second consecutive game against the #2 favorite they’ll play. Here are the latest Women’s World Cup title odds:

USA -120England +400Germany +420
Netherlands +900Sweden +2100Italy +2300

Women’s World Cup Quarterfinal Daily Fantasy Picks

High Press 10 June 28, 2019

It’s the game everyone has been waiting for: the USWNT play France on Friday. At stake? Most likely the 2019 Women’s World Cup title.

The US and France are strong favorites to win the World Cup. Whoever advances will see their World Cup title odds spike.

With a variety of daily fantasy contests covering today and tomorrow’s quarterfinal match-ups, we’re going to take a different approach to selections in this post. The focus today will just be on players (not pricing). DraftKings has a number of different contests with varying player values. We’ll isolate and discuss players (or teams) we believe will get you points regardless of their price tag.

Women’s World Cup Quarterfinal Games

As we’ve been doing, before getting to recommended selections, we’ll review lines for each game as well as goal scoring props.

For a refresher, read up on how to bet soccer. The home team is listed first. The “-” means that team is favored.

Quarterfinal games for selection on DraftKings are:

Friday, 3pm ETUSA +128Draw +225France +225
Saturday, 9am ETItaly +260Draw +215Netherlands +118
Saturday, 12:30pm ETGermany -134Draw +255Sweden +390

From an odds perspective, only Germany are what we’d consider heavy favorites to win. However, according to FiveThirtyEight probabilities, that honor should go to the Netherlands.

The Netherlands are 79% to advance. Germany (63%) and the US (54%) are slighter favorites. If you’re in a legal sportsbetting state, that +118 on the Netherlands looks like a strong play.

For daily fantasy, none of the three above games are favored to go over 2.5 goals. There are some goal scoring props though we’ll discuss in the following section.

Our WWC Quarterfinal DFS Picks

For a refresher: Typically, contests have 8 position selections. You have $50,000 to spend with a $6,250 average salary.

Given the way contests are split over the next two days, there are Showdown entries where the salary varies from Classic games.

Double-check line-ups an hour before game time for any player rotations / non-starters.

  • FW: Vivianne Miedema, Netherlands. In Classic contests including today’s US vs France game, she’s only the 9th most expensive forward. However, she’s the second lowest odds (behind only Alexandra Popp) to score the first goal in her respective game.
  • FW: Alexandra Popp, Germany. Speaking of Popp, Germany is the most likely team to win according to bookmakers. She’s the most likely to score. Don’t overthink this one.
  • MID: Sara Däbritz, Germany. She’s been awesome. Over the last three games, she’s averaging over 20 FPPs. She’s had a goal in each of the last three, and fills up the box score even if she’s not finding the net. In Classic contests, she’s the 8th (!!!) most expensive midfielder.
  • MID: Lindsey Horan and Rose Lavelle, USWNT. Neither are among the most expensive mids, and both have looked consistently like the US’ best player(s). Selecting either one is a good play.
  • DEF: Magelena Eriksson, Sweden. Low cost. Gets double digit points. Will be active against Germany.
  • GK: Almuth Schult, Germany. For your keeper, focus on who has the best shot at winning the game. Over the next two days, that’s Schult.

Notes:

  • Alex Morgan has seen her price go down since her ridiculous five-goal out-burst against Thailand. We’ve advised staying away since then given her cost. Her price has course corrected now and she’s worth a look.
  • If you like France, midfielder Amandine Henry is second on her squad in FPP. And she’s not even priced in the top 15 midfielders. An absolute must start if you think France is winning this game.
  • Wendie Renard has been an every-other-game performer. After tallying zero points against Brazil, she could be in line for another double-digit showing against the US.
  • Megan Rapinoe tends to show up in the biggest games. She’s always a threat when the stakes are highest.

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