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August 26, 2019

Takeaways From Matchday 2 in La Liga As An Unfamiliar Barcelona Lineup Thrashes Real Betis

Tyler Everett August 26, 2019
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For at least 90 minutes on Sunday against Real Betis, Barcelona looked potent offensively without Lionel Messi. This is a development that can’t be overstated.

Elsewhere in Spain, Real Madrid settled for a 1-1 draw against Valladolid. And following an offseason overhaul, this year’s Atlético Madrid appears to be a case of “the more things change, the more they stay the same.”

After two games, Los Rojiblancos are one of just two undefeated squads in Spain’s 20-team top flight. *Sevilla is currently in first place (thanks to a +3 goal differential compared to +2 for Atleti) after opening the season with a 2-0 win over Espanyol and a 1-0 defeat of Granada on Friday.

Plenty to talk about for Barcelona

But let’s start with the reigning league champs, which looked like a different team than the one we saw lose the season opener 1-0 to Athletic Bilbao. The Catalans fell behind 1-0 in the 15th minute at Camp Nou, but responded with five unanswered goals as Antoine Griezmann led a young XI to an impressive blowout.

First of all, no, this was not a starting lineup we should get used to seeing. But it was still interesting to see Barcelona’s front three of Antoine Griezmann, with Rafinha to his left and 21-year-old Carles Pérez to his right. And the subs that Ernesto Valverde chose for Rafinha (23-year-old Júnior Firpo) and Pérez (16-year-old Ansummane Fati) showed the manager’s interest in seeing what the next generation of Barcelona players can do.

Griezmann enjoys his Camp Nou debut

It was Griezmann, however, who stole the show. He scored twice and added an assist, looking like the best player on the pitch in a welcome sight for Barcelona fans.

Messi’s track record tells us he’s unlikely to miss many games, but we’ve learned over the last few months that the Argentine alone is not going to be enough for Barcelona to reach its goals. Luis Suárez and Ousmane Dembélé are nice complements to Messi when healthy, but another dominant (and durable) striker is a necessity for this team, and Griezmann is exactly that. And if his Lebron James-esque celebration of his second goal – but with confetti instead of chalk – was any indication, he appears to be right at home under the Camp Nou spotlight.

Sunday night may have also given us a glimpse of Barcelona’s latest teenage prodigy. Fati, who will likely spend most of the season playing for Barcelona’s B team, came on for the last 15 minutes and did not look the least bit intimidated. The teenager, who became the second-youngest player in club history to play in a La Liga match, nearly scored in the 86th, but his shot was just wide.

There was one notable absence, though: Sunday marked Ivan Rakitic’s second straight game as a sub. The Croatian did not play at all this week after coming on at halftime last week. There are rumblings his days in Catalonia could be numbered, with Juventus reportedly interested. Rakitic is still widely considered a quality player, even if he’s divisive among Barcelona supporters, so his situation is worth monitoring.

Real Madrid falters

Los Blancos are not exactly right back in the panic mode after drawing Valladolid 1-1, but it was a disappointing result for Zidane’s club. The biggest headline before the match was that not only was Gareth Bale starting again, but that he was joined by James Rodríguez. The Colombian’s potential impact on this year’s team was set to be the biggest storyline of this weekend. However, Monday morning news broke that he suffered a calf injury. We’ll know more on how long he’s out soon, but after 825 days between appearances for RM, his injury made Saturday’s game a bittersweet return.

Atleti remains stout defensively, but where’s the offense?

Another week, another 1-0 win for Diego Simeone and Co. We’ve seen that this is obviously a winning formula for this club, but those who thought João Félix (*looks in mirror*) was going to turn this team into an offensive juggernaut overnight will need some patience. It was the 19-year-old who created the only goal his team needed, feeding Vitolo in the 71st for the game-winner.

*We’ll touch on whether Sevilla can continue its strong start later this week.

A look at La Liga futures

It’s worth noting that Atleti’s title odds keep getting better and better (or worse and worse, if you wanted to grab them at +1400). Oddsmakers see this is a three-team race. Don’t expect that to change for awhile.


2019-20 La Liga Title Favorites
Barcelona -150 Real Madrid +200 Atletico Madrid +600


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Premier League Matchday 4 Odds

High Press 10 August 26, 2019

Parity, anyone?

The narrative about the Premier League being “the deepest” of the European domestics divisions has existed for some time. More teams are making more money than ever before and investing in talent. A look at the table and you’ll see all but one team (Watford!) with at least three points.

The last time that this many teams had add least 3 points after Matchday 3 was 1981.

So yea, it’s a tightly bunched table. This week features three games in particular with major Top 4, Top 6, and relegation implications:

  • Arsenal vs Tottenham: So any enthusiasm about either of these teams making a run at Liverpool and Manchester City went the way of the Dodo last weekend. Arsenal was run off the field at Anfield. Spurs lost to Newcastle. Still, these are three huge points for a top 4 finish this campaign.
  • Everton vs Wolves: Both of these teams had UCL aspirations going into the season. Everton sits snugly in the middle of the table with a LWD. Wolves haven’t lost once this season domestically! Nor have they won. They’re DDD.
  • Newcastle vs Watford: Everybody expected Newcastle would struggle with Steve Bruce at the helm. Then they go and basically play a 8-1 formation and beat Spurs. Watford wasn’t anyone’s relegation candidate. And they’re the only Premier League team without a point or a win. These points would mean a lot for Newcastle’s hopes of staying up. Watford just need to get on the board.

Premier League Matchday 4 Odds

Southampton +295Draw +225Manchester United +105
Chelsea -305Draw +400Sheffield United +900
Crystal Palace +120Draw +235Aston Villa +240
Leicester City -155Draw +320Bournemouth +390
Manchester City -1250Draw +1100Brighton +2500
Newcastle +155Draw +225Watford +185
West Ham -109Draw +280Norwich City +275
Burnley +1000Draw +425Liverpool -335
Everton +120Draw +220Wolves +250
Arsenal +150Draw +260Tottenham +170

Odds & Ends

  • Something about that +225 draw price screams Southampton 1 – 1 Manchester United.
  • Are we sure that West Ham should be odds on favorites (-109) vs Norwich? Team Pukki over here at HPS. Don’t be surprised if the Canaries sing at +275.
  • Among the more interesting matches this week is Leicester vs Bournemouth. The Foxes are third in the table right now. If they’re really going to challenge for European soccer, taking care of business at home against a scrappy, talented Bournemouth squad is a must.
  • Finally, watch the Christian Eriksen transfer news all week. If he remains at Spurs and makes the Starting XI, that +170 at Arsenal is worth a long look.
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