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November 1, 2019

MLS Cup Line: Seattle Sounders Favorites Over Toronto

High Press 10 November 1, 2019

The MLS Cup final that almost nobody wanted!

That is by no means intended to besmirch the Seattle Sounders  or Toronto FC.  Both teams deserve to be here.

In Toronto’s case, they defeated #1 seed NYCFC on the road. They followed up that impressive win with an even more impressive feat: defeating Atlanta United at Mercedes-Benz.

Seattle only beat the greatest regular season team in MLS history, LAFC, on the road.

Yes, LAFC vs Atlanta would’ve been a more compelling match-up for the masses. It certainly would’ve drawn significantly higher TV ratings. But Seattle and Toronto showed the heart of champions to reach the finals. They are 100% deserving.

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Seattle Sounders vs Toronto FC MLS Cup Odds

Seattle, who will host the final, comes in as slight odds-on favorites.

 

Seattle -114 Draw +240 Toronto +285


While the longer odds on Toronto suggest oddsmakers strongly favor Seattle, it’s hard to not be impressed with TFC’s road warrior mentality. That +285 is a good price.

Where to bet the MLS Cup in the US

In the US, you can legally bet on soccer in New Jersey and Pennsylvania.

For New Jersey, we recommend DraftKings Sportsbook NJ or FanDuel Sportsbook.

Aston Villa vs Liverpool Matchday 11 Preview

Chops November 1, 2019

Who: Aston Villa vs Liverpool
When: Saturday, November 2nd @ 11:00am ET
LineAston Villa +750 | Draw +450 | Liverpool -295

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Aston Villa host Liverpool on Saturday in a match that on the surface seems fairly predictable.

While it feels like Aston Villa is doing well this season, they’re sitting 15th right now. They’re 3 points clear of relegation.

And while it feels like Liverpool is doing well this season, well that’s because they are.

Villa aren’t poor, but they have a ceiling. Liverpool have a floor and they’re the best team in the world. Let’s not overthink this. Here’s a preview.

Aston Villa vs Liverpool matchday 11 preview

So back to Villa. They’re tied for 6th in goals scored on the season (15) and are spot on their xG (15.11). They’re a little lucky in conceding, giving up 16 to an xGA of 17.97. Basically, they’re right where they should be in the table.

They’re going to score. However, they’re going to give up slightly more than they score. Villa are taking points off the teams they should. They’re losing to England’s best. Not a lot of surprises here.

Offensively, they have a respectable 5 players registering more than one goal for the season to date. Scottish international John McGinn leads the way with 3. Jack Grealish and Anwar El Ghazi both have 2 goals and 3 assists.

Their backline, primarily anchored by Tyrone Mings and Björn Engels, isn’t good enough to stand up against top flight teams. They’re not Arsenal-bad. Against teams like Liverpool, Manchester City, Chelsea, Tottenham or Leicester, they’re can’t hang for a full 90 minutes. Villa will be competitive in just about every game. This isn’t a poor squad. They’re just going to struggle against the Big 6 + Leicester. No shame there. 10 other squads would say the same thing.

For Liverpool, it’ll be interesting to see if Klopp gives some of the lads who performed well against Genk and Arsenal a start. While consistently converting shots from outside the box isn’t sustainable (even though he historically has done it well), Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain should see his name on the team sheet soon. He adds a level of dynamism (offensively) that’s lacking from the midfield.

Naby Keita is too inconsistent to be trusted. However, maybe this is a contest where giving Curtis Jones a run out as a sub makes sense. He’s looked sharp in pre-season and both Carabao Cup matches. Keep the younguns who are performing motivated.

I don’t expect Klopp to tinker too much though. The most likely scenario is he rolls out his preferred starting XI. The Premier League is too important to the club this season.

Prediction

Liverpool are too much of a machine right now to get derailed at Villa. The Reds are winning. While oddsmakers are -157 for this to come under 3.5 goals, this feels like a 3-1 Liverpool win. Villa are good enough to find the net. Their backline won’t hold against Roberto Firmino, Mohamed Salah and Sadio Mane. In particular, Salah looks as though he’s ready for one of those breakout games.

Where to bet the Premier League in the US

In the US, you can legally bet on soccer in New Jersey and Pennsylvania.

For New Jersey, we recommend DraftKings Sportsbook NJ or FanDuel Sportsbook.

 

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