2020/21 FA Cup Final Betting Preview: Chelsea vs Leicester City

Posted By Alex Blowers on May 14, 2021

WHAT: FA Cup Final
LINE: Chelsea -113 | Draw +265 | Leicester City +300
KICK OFF: Saturday, May 15th, 12:15PM EST
WHERE: Wembley, London, England
WATCH: ESPN+

Thomas Tuchel and Brendan Rodgers will go head to head on Saturday in this season’s FA Cup Final. One of them will walk away with their first trophy in English football.

Chelsea had it easy in the early rounds drawing Morecambe, Luton Town, Barnsley, Sheffield United, and Manchester City on their way to the final. Leicester City had it harder with Stoke City, Brentford, Brighton, Manchester United, and Southampton, their opponents.

I’ve been touting these two sides as potential winners since the 4th Round and continued to talk them up in the 5th Round, Quarterfinals, and Semifinals. Leicester’s highest price was +1400 and Chelsea’s was +700. I hope you enjoy the game and your payday to those of you brave enough to take my advice.

CHELSEA PROJECTED STARTING XI

I’m confident Tuchel will pick a similar team to the one he selected against Real Madrid in the second leg of their Champions League Semifinal. That was his biggest Chelsea fixture to date, and he went with the players and system he trusts the most.

In my opinion, Antonio Rüdiger, Thiago Silva, and Kurt Zouma are Chelsea’s strongest back three. They will have more of the ball, and Ben Chilwell’s crossing ability from deep will be a good threat. I would go with Callum Hudson-Odoi on the right for his ability to overlap, take players on, and get to the byline.

Jorginho will sit deep, controlling the tempo with Mason Mount and N’golo Kanté playing further up in a double pivot. Timo Werner will get the nod due to his work rate and ability to stretch opponents with his pace.

Finally, I would go with Kai Havertz. I think Leicester will play deep and defensively. You need a player like him who’s capable of drifting between and producing a piece of magic.

LEICESTER CITY PROJECTED STARTING XI

I think Rogers will go with a similar formation to Chelsea to try and match them. They will play more compact, sit deeper, and try to hit them on the break with Jamie Vardy and Kelechi Iheanacho’s pace.

Wilfried Ndidi and Youri Tielemans are one of the best central midfield partnerships in the Premier League, and they’ll need to produce a big performance if The Foxes are to have any chance of lifting the trophy. Rogers will go with James Maddison over Ayoze Pérez. The England hopeful is capable of producing something special on his day and is a threat from set-pieces.

On Thursday, Rogers said he was ‘really hopeful’ that Jonny Evans would be available to start after he returned to training on Thursday. The former Manchester United center-back picked up a heel injury last week against Newcastle in the warm-up, and the club will make a decision on Friday.

If he makes it, he will play alongside Wesley Fofana and Çaglar Söyüncü in a back three. Timothy Castagne and Ricardo Pereira will get the nod for the wingback positions.

FA CUP FINAL BETTING TIPS

I’m going to kick things off by backing Timo Werner +525 to open the scoring. In my opinion, the former RB Leipzig player has had a good season scoring 12 goals and providing 14 assists in all competitions. I love his temperament and mentality. No matter how many chances he misses or how much criticism he receives he never stops working for the team.

The obvious play here is Under 2.5 Goals -150. Twenty-two of Tuchel’s twenty-six games in charge at Chelsea have finished with a goal total of two or less. I prefer Chelsea to win to Nil which is better value at +190, and Tuchel has collected 18 clean sheets so far during his tenure.

My favorite bet is Halftime ending in a draw and Chelsea winning at Fulltime. I expect Leicester to set up in a 3-5-2 or 3-4-1-2 formation, which will lead to a tight and cautious opening 45 minutes. Both sides will open up more in the second half and try to win. Draftkings are offering this outcome at +400.

Prediction – 1 Unit: Timo Werner First Goalscorer +525 | 2 Units: Chelsea to Win to Nil +190 | 1 Unit: Halftime/Fulltime Draw/Chelsea +400

WHERE TO BET THE FA CUP IN THE US

In the US, you can legally bet on soccer in New Jersey, Indiana, and Pennsylvania.

For New Jersey, we recommend DraftKings Sportsbook NJ or FanDuel Sportsbook.

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Alex Blowers

Betting advice for the Premier League & Bundesliga! Twitter - @RegistaPicks

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