The FA Cup returns for the Quarterfinals this weekend. Only Pep Guardiola and Carlo Ancelotti have won a major English trophy, making the other 6 managers extra motivated to lift this year’s cup. Every game is available to watch live on ESPN+.
Hit me up on Twitter @RegistaPicks with your thoughts, who you support, and picks for the week.
2020-21 FA CUP WINNER ODDS
Tottenham and West Ham have exited the competition, and the teams remaining are 2 wins away from the final. Here are the futures for the 6 sides I think have a chance of winning the FA Cup:
- Manchester City +130
- Chelsea +400
- Manchester United +500
- Leicester City +900
- Southampton +1100
- Everton +1400
Sports Books have Manchester City as favorites, and rightly so. Pep Guardiola’s side has a 14 point lead in the Premier League title race, which allows them to focus on this competition, the League Cup and Champions League. Achieving the quadruple would be an amazing feat but also a little boring. Back them at +130 for the safe option.
I said Chelsea represented the best value in the 5th Round, and I still believe that to be true. Their odds have been slashed from +700 to +400. Thomas Tuchel’s side has the easiest path to the Semi-Finals with a home tie against an emotionally broken Sheffield United side. Chris Wilder left the club on Saturday, and the players haven’t taken it well. A lot of them showed their support and gratitude for their former manager on social media. The Blades first game without him resulted in one of their worse displays of the season as Leicester destroyed them 5-0.
Leicester is good value at +900. Brendan Rodgers knows how to win cup competitions after leading Celtic to two Scottish Cups and three Scottish League Cups. They are capable of beating anyone on their day, and Ayoze Pérez, Jonny Evans, and Dennis Praet have returned from injury at the perfect time. A win over Manchester United and a favorable Semi-Final draw could see them walking out at Wembley on May 15th.
I think Southampton is worth some small change at +1100. They should beat Championship side Bournemouth who have had a mixed start to life under Jonathan Woodgate. Again, a favorable Semi-Final draw could see them make it to the final.
I don’t trust Manchester United at +500. They have a massive Europa League match on Thursday evening away at AC Milan. That fixture has all the feelings of a Champions League tie, and I think Ole Gunnar Solksjaer’s side will prioritize that game and the occasion.
Everton +1400 has the unenviable task of trying to knock Manchester City out. If they manage that, there’s a good chance they will have to beat Chelsea, Manchester United, or Leicester on their way to lifting the cup. I don’t see that happening and recommend avoiding them.
Here are the 2020-21 FA Cup Quarterfinal Betting Lines.
FA CUP QUARTERFINAL BETTING LINES
ODDS & ENDS
- Keep in mind that replays have been scrapped this year, and games will be decided on the night so we could see teams trying to hold out for penalties. I think Bournemouth vs. Southampton +240 and Leicester vs. Manchester United +255 are the more likely fixtures to end in a draw after 90 minutes.
- The best bet I can recommend from these 4 games is Chelsea Win to Nil -114. The Blades have struggled to score goals all season, and I don’t see them getting any joy out of Chelsea’s back three.
- I like Sergio Agüero to score anytime at +100 with Jordan Pickford out injured.
- I think Leicester and Manchester United’s game will be a tight, low-scoring game. Back Under 2.5 Goals at +117.
- Back Southampton on the Money Line at -106.
WHERE TO BET THE FA CUP IN THE US
In the US, you can legally bet on soccer in New Jersey, Indiana, and Pennsylvania.