2021 Carabao Cup Final: Manchester City vs Tottenham Hotspur Betting Preview

Posted By Alex Blowers on April 23, 2021

WHAT: Carabao Cup (EFL Cup) Final)
LINE: Manchester City -200 | Draw +360 | Tottenham +490
KICK OFF: Sunday, April 25th, 11:30AM EST
WHERE: Wembley, London, England
WATCH: ESPN+



29-year-old Ryan Mason became the youngest Premier League manager on Wednesday evening and his second game in charge is the League Cup Final against Pep Guardiola. He must be pinching himself at the moment, and who could begrudge him this opportunity after his career was brought to an abrupt end three years ago when he suffered a severe head injury. 

The Quadruple is over for Manchester City, but the Treble is very much alive. They have become specialists in this competition, winning it five times in the last seven years, and a victory here will set them up nicely for the final week so the season.

Manchester City Projected Starting XI

Guardiola will go with a similar lineup to the one he picked against Chelsea last week in the FA Cup semi-final. Kevin De Bruyne’s injury will force him to revert from a 4-2-3-1 to a 4-3-3 with Phil Foden starting on the left in place of Férran Torres. ilkay Gündogan and Bernando Silva will make up the midfield three with Rodri in place of Fernandinho and De Bruyne.

Finally, Ederson will start ahead of Zack Steffen. The American goalkeeper was caught in no man’s land for Hakim Ziyech’s goal last weekend. I don’t think Guardiola will take the risk despite him playing every round in the competition.

Tottenham Projected Starting XI

I think Ryan Mason will stick with the same starting eleven that he picked against Southampton, with Harry Kane replacing Lucas Moura up top. Personally, I would go with Toby Alderweireld and Davinson Sánchez in central defense. These two compliments each other well and are better than Eric Dier, in my opinion.

He will give Gareth Bale, Heung-Min Son, Kane, Giovanni Lo Celso, and Tanguy Ndombélé license to be creative and express themselves in the final third.

CARABAO CUP FINAL BETTING TIPS

Cracks have been appearing in Manchester City’s performances in the last few weeks. They lost to 10 men Leeds United, struggled against Borussia Dortmund, got knocked out of the FA Cup by Chelsea, and conceded after 21 seconds against Aston Villa.

Guardiola went off in his FA Cup post-match interview after being criticized for making eight changes. John Stones was sent off midweek for a reckless and needless challenge on the halfway line that has cost him an appearance in this Cup Final. It’s been a very long season for The Citizens, and maybe the pressure’s getting to them, or they’re running out of steam or both.

We all knew José Mourinho’s days were numbered, and letting him go six days before this fixture might be a masterstroke from Daniel Levy. The squad were unhappy with Mourinho’s methods and how he treated players like Danny Rose and Dele Alli, freezing them out of the team but not allowing them to leave. They will all be relieved he’s gone, and the inexperienced Ryan Mason can ride the ‘new manager bounce’ wave through his first few games.

We saw that against Southampton after a poor first 45 minutes saw them 1-0 down. Mason’s team talk inspired them to a much better second half, and they won the game 2-1. The performance and result will give them some much-needed belief and confidence for this game.

With the pressure off Spurs and Mourinho’s toxicity out the door, I’m going to back them not to lose in 90 minutes. The line is too good to turn down especially with the attacking quality they have.

Prediction – 1 Unit: Draw +360 | 1 Unit: Tottenham Money Line +490

WHERE TO BET THE LEAGUE CUP IN THE US

In the US, you can legally bet on soccer in New Jersey, Indiana, and Pennsylvania.

For New Jersey, we recommend DraftKings Sportsbook NJ or FanDuel Sportsbook.

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Alex Blowers

Betting advice for the Premier League & Bundesliga! Twitter - @RegistaPicks

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