Bundesliga 2020/21 Season Player and Betting Roundup

Posted By Alex Blowers on May 26, 2021

I want to start by thanking everyone who has read my posts and tailed my betting recommendations. I’ve never claimed to be a betting expert, and at the start of the season, the only thing I promised was complete transparency with my picks using my Betting Tracker. I’m proud to finish my first full season covering the Bundesliga for High Press Soccer in profit.

I’ve loved every minute, and this has become my favorite league. Yes, Bayern Munich won the title for the 9th season in a row, and I know how tedious that is. The Bundesliga is bigger than Die Rotten, and there are so many other stories, drama, and subplots going on.

Six of the clubs who finished in the Top 8 will have new managers next season. RB Leipzig are about to receive a combined total of $125 million for Julian Nagelsmann, Dayot Upamecano, and Ibrahima Konaté. Expect them to spend big this summer and challenge for the title. FC Union Berlin will be playing in Europe for the first time since 2001/02.

We welcome VfL Bochum and SpVgg Greuther Fürth in place of Werder Bremen and FC Schalke 04. Holstein Kiel could be joining them if they beat FC Köln in their two leg Relegation Playoff.

Enjoy the Euro’s, Gold Cup, and Copa America this summer. I’ll be back next season, bringing you all the latest news and more quality betting info to help you make better picks. You can hit me up on Twitter @RegistaPicks.

PLAYER OF THE SEASON

41 goals in 29 matches………does anything else really need to be said?

GOAL OF THE SEASON

It was always going to be Valentino Lazaro’s scorpion kick. The audacity, athletic ability & execution makes this a truly unique & special goal.

PERFORMANCE OF THE SEASON

To come into this struggling Schalke side at 19 years old and score a hattrick to end the club’s 30 game winless streak is pretty special. Matthew Hoppe took all 3 of his goals superbly and became the first American to score a hat trick in the Bundesliga.

He has a real eye for goal, and the future of USMNT‘s will be bright if he can find the right club and coaching staff to help him fulfill his potential.

SAVE OF THE SEASON

Stefan Ortega has made some unbelievable stops. This reaction save from Demarai Gray is the pick of the bunch.

BETTING ROUNDUP

I had a lot of ups and downs with the betting this season. I peaked around Matchday 10 when I was up 15 Units. My profits slowly declined from there to Matchday 26, where I was 2.849 Units in the red which brings me perfectly to my favorite match of the season.

On Matchday 28, I picked four bets for Eintracht Frankfurt vs. VfL Wolfsburg and they all hit after 27 minutes, netting me 9.29 Units of profit:

  • First Half Both Teams to Score YES
  • First Half Over 1.5 Goals
  • Over 2.5 Goals
  • Luka Jović to Score Anytime

Ironically Frankfurt also features in my worse game of the season. They traveled to Gelsenkirchen to face Schalke in Matchday 33. A win would have kept the pressure on Borussia Dortmund and Wolfsburg in the race for the Top 4. They put in a disgraceful performance and lost 4-3, costing me 7 Units and ending their chances of qualifying for the Champions League.

Overall I made a 20.41% profit on the $400 I put up at the start of the season, and I’m pretty happy with that.

Betting Tracker

WINS: 61
LOSSES: 63
PUSHES: 1
UNITS: +8.164
WIN %: 48.38%
ROI: +20.41%

FUTURES BETS

At the start of the Bundesliga season, I staked $150 across 8 futures bets, and only 2 of them hit. Fortunately, they were the 2 with the biggest odds, so I came out evens.

TOP 6

1 Unit – Hertha Berlin +200 = -1 Unit
Hertha started the season as a lot of people’s favorites to break into the Top 6. The club has a net spend of $120 million since the summer of 2019, and expectations were high. Bruno Labbadia was let go in January after collecting 17 points from 18 games. Former manager Pál Dárdai came in to save the day, picking up 18 points on their path to safety..

2 Units – Hoffenheim +200 = -2 Units
Before this season, Hoffenheim had made the Top 6 three out of the last four years. They started the season strongly with Andrej Kramarić scoring 7 goals in the opening 4 games and beating Bayern 4-1 on Matchday 2. Their form dipped in Matchday 11 and never really recovered.

TO BE RELEGATED

0.5 Units – FC Schalke +1100 = 5.5 Units
If you truly believe in something, back it. At the start of the season, I wrote that Schalke were giving me Leeds United 2004 vibes when they were relegated from the Premier League. The +1100 price tag seemed too good to be true and it made me doubt if it could truly happen. I stupidly reduced my stake to 0.5 Units.

€250 million in debt, 4 managers sacked, backroom staff clearout, player revolts, fans egging the team, and 86 goals conceded. Schalke have been a complete car wreck on and off the pitch.

TOTAL GOALS

2 Units – Thomas Müller Over 11.5 Goals +120 = -2 Units
I missed out by 1 goal……1 fricken goal!!!! The Raumdeuter finished the season on 11 goals, and he missed 6 big chances.

2 Units – Dani Olmo Over 6.5 Goals -134 = -2 Units
I watched Leipzig a lot this year, and every game, I cursed Olmo’s name. He finished 6th in the Shots chart with 77 and somehow only managed to score 5, giving him a conversion rate of 6.49%. Olmo could easily hit double figures and needs to work on his finishing.

MOST ASSISTS

1.5 Units – Thomas Müller +500 = 7.5 Units
Müller finished the season as the assist king for the second time in a row. He was always overvalued at +500, and this was an easy win in the end with Filip Kostić, his closest rival, 4 assists behind him.

TOTAL ASSISTS

3 Units – Alphonso Davies Over 4.5 Assists -155 = -3 Units
3 Units –
Benjamin Pavard Over 3.5 Assists -118= -3 Units
I thought both of these bets would definitely cash after these two made a combined total of 9 assists last season. Although Bayern scored 99 goals in the Bundesliga, Alphonso Davies made 2 assists in 23 appearances, and Benjamin Pavard made 0 in 24 appearances.

WINS: 2
LOSSES: 6
UNITS: 0.00
WIN %: 25%
ROI: 0%

FINAL BETTING RESULTS

WINS: 63
LOSSES: 69
PUSHES: 1
UNITS: +8.164
WIN %: 47.36%
ROI: +14.84%

WHERE TO BET THE BUNDESLIGA IN THE US

In the US, you can legally bet on soccer in New Jersey, Indiana, and Pennsylvania.

For New Jersey, we recommend DraftKings Sportsbook NJ or FanDuel Sportsbook.

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Alex Blowers

Betting advice for the Premier League & Bundesliga! Twitter - @RegistaPicks

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