Bundesliga Betting 21/22: Bayern Munich vs Eintracht Frankfurt Match Preview

Written By Alex Blowers on October 1, 2021

This Sunday, Bayern Munich host Eintracht Frankfurt at the Allianz Arena. These played out a brilliant encounter in the second half of last season which Frankfurt won 2-1. Hopefully, this edition will be just as good, and it will be shown live on ESPN+, with kick-off scheduled for 11:30AM EST.

Both sides are coming off good performances and results in Europe. Bayern Munich made easy work of Dynamo Kyiv, smashing them 5-0 in the UEFA Champions League to put them top of Group E. Frankfurt left it late to get the win against Royal Antwerp FC in the Europa League. Gonçalo Paciência converted a penalty in the 91st minute to put them second in Group D.

Read on for my match preview, bringing you all the latest team news, recent form, and stats to hopefully help you make better Bundesliga betting choices.


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Bundesliga Betting: Bayern Munich vs Eintracht Frankfurt Match Preview


CompetitionOpponentHome/AwayShots ForShots AgainstGoals ForGoals AgainstPossessionxG ForxG AgainstxG Difference
BundesligaFC CologneHome18103257%3.080.96+2.12
BundesligaHertha BerlinHome1675063%4.260.58+3.36
BundesligaRB LeipzigAway18104147%4.300.35+3.95
BundesligaVfL BochumHome2457069%6.881.23+5.65
BundesligaGreuther FürthAway12103167%0.680.66+0.02
Total / Average88 / 17.642 / 8.422 / 4.44 / 0.860.6%19.20 / 3.843.78 / 0.75+15.1 / +3.02

Stats taken from UnderStat

Bundesliga Betting: Bayern Munich vs Eintracht Frankfurt Match Preview

Out: Sven Ulreich (Knee)
Doubtful: Kingsley Coman (Heart Operation), Corentin Tolisso (Calf)
Suspended: Benjamin Pavard
Coach: Julian Nagelsmann

First-choice right full-back Benjamin Pavard is suspended for this game after getting sent off last weekend against Greuther Fürth. Niklas Süle replaced him in the starting lineup midweek and is likely to keep his place, although youngster Josip Stanišić could get the nod.

Kingsley Coman is back in training but isn’t expected to feature. The French international had minor heart surgery a couple of weeks back, and the Bayern medical staff will manage his return very carefully.

18-year-old Jamal Musiala is proving to be quite the talent and will come off the bench for Serge Gnabry or Leroy Sané at some point. Corentin Tolisso is still recovering from the calf injury he picked up in September’s international break.


CompetitionOpponentHome/AwayShots ForShots AgainstGoals ForGoals AgainstPossessionxG ForxG AgainstxG Difference
BundesligaFC AugsburgHome2140062%1.330.17+1.16
BundesligaArminia BielefeldAway11131165%1.790.63+1.16
BundesligaVfB StuttgartHome1791158%0.860.62+0.24
BundesligaVfL WolfsburgAway1451160%0.281.85-1.57
BundesligaFC CologneHome10141146%0.951.11-0.16
Total / Average73 / 14.645 / 94 / 0.84 / 0.858.2%5.21 / 1.044.38 / 0.87+0.83 / +0.16

Stats taken from UnderStat

Bundesliga Betting: Bayern Munich vs Eintracht Frankfurt Match Preview


Out: Erik Durm (Concussion), Christopher Lenz (Thigh), Sebastian Rode (Knee), Amin Younes (Not Included)
Doubtful: Makoto Hasebe (Unknown)
Suspended: None
Coach: Oliver Glasner

Oliver Glasner has several players out injured and will likely be forced to pick a similar team and set up to the one he chose last weekend against FC Cologne.

Right-back Eric Durm returned from injury for that game but was forced off after 11 minutes when he picked up a concussion. Danny da Costa replaced him and will get his third start of the season in the Bundesliga.

Christopher Lenz and Sebastian Rode missed the midweek game against Antwerp through injury and probably won’t be available until after the international break.


Life for Bayern under Julian Nagelsmann is going pretty damn well. Their new coach has led them to an almost perfect start picking up nine wins and one draw in his opening 10 games whilst scoring 46 goals and conceding 6.

Their opponents Frankfurt have struggled under new coach Oliver Glasner. They are yet to pick up a win in their opening six Bundesliga games drawing five and losing one. 

Their biggest issue is scoring goals, with six scored in the league, and one of those was an own goal. So far, summer signings Rafael Santos Borré and Sam Lammers have been unable to replicate the goalscoring exploits of André Silva, who notched 28 last season.

All of this can be seen in both team’s Expected Goals (xG) across their last five games. Bayern are averaging 4.4 xG whilst Frankfurt are averaging 0.8 xG. That’s a difference of 3.6 xG between the two sides.

Throw in Bayern’s home advantage, Frankfurt’s injury problems, and their trip to Belgium on Thursday, meaning they’ve had one day less to rest and prepare. Backing Bayern on the Spread -2.5 Goals at +105 is looking like the right choice.

BUNDESLIGA BETTING TIP: Bayern Munich -2.5 Goals +105


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Betting advice for the Premier League, Bundesliga & Serie A! Twitter - @AlexJBlowers

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