The Bundesliga returns this weekend for Matchday 14. “Die Winterpause” – as it’s known in Germany – is typically 3/4 weeks long with average January temperatures below freezing across the country. With the schedule compacted this season, it has been shortened down to 11 days for most clubs.
Matchday 13 wasn’t the best with 1 of my 3 bets hitting. You can always depend on Bayern Munich to find a way. Robert Lewandowski scored a stoppage winner to cash my Money Line bet & return Die Roten to the summit.
My two game Money Line Parlay failed after Borussia Dortmund turned in a meek performance against FC Union Berlin. Max Kruse’s injury didn’t hold back Urs Fischer’s side as they ran out deserved 2-1 winners. A few more performances like this & Edin Terzic’s interim reign will be brought to an end.
The only positive for BVB was Youssoufo Moukoko’s goal, which makes him the youngest goalscorer in Bundesliga history. The ability & composure he demonstrated is way beyond, what a 16 year old should be capable of. I don’t think there’s a more exciting talent in the game & I’m excited to watch his development.
RB Leipzig were held to a 0-0 draw at home by FC Köln. It’s the first time this season, Julian Nagelsmann’s side didn’t win at the Red Bull Arena & it cost them going joint top with Bayern. The Billy Goats stood firm & this point moved them out of the relegation spots.
BAYERN MUNICH VS MAINZ 05
I don’t think Bayern could have ended 2020 any better. They are top of the Bundesliga & Joshua Kimmich has recovered from his knee injury. It has been evident how much they miss his energy, leadership & personality on the pitch. In the 8 games he was absent, Die Roten won 4 & drew 4.
It’s looking bleak for Mainz 05. Their Sporting Director Rouven Schröder has left at his own request & are down in 17th on 6 points. One highlight has been the goal scoring form of Jean-Philippe Mateta. The French Under-21 international has 10 goals in all competitions. There are rumors Tottenham Hotpsur are interested & he could leave in the January transfer window.
Hansi Flick’s side will kick off 2021 with a dominating home performance.
Prediction – 2 Units: Bayern Munich -2.5 Goals -122
BORUSSIA DORTMUND VS VFL WOLFSBURG
This line is so off. Lucien Favre’s departure hasn’t led to an improvement in Borussia Dortmund’s performances yet. I can’t see interim manager Edin Terzic lasting beyond this season & early indications are the board have made a poor choice.
Erling Haaland is back from injury & that could be Terzic’s saving grace. With him in the side, BVB have won 5 & lost 3 in the Bundesliga scoring 19 goals & conceding 9. Without him they have won 2, drawn 1 & lost 2, scoring 7 goals & conceding 9. Haaland is pivotal to Dortmund’s success & the only player they have that can lead the line & run in behind. Moukoko has shown he has that in his locker, but, needs time to develop & learn the game.
VFL Wolfsburg are having a brilliant season. Oliver Glasner has made his side really tough to beat with 10 wins, 6 draws & 2 defeats in all competitions. They remained undefeated in the Bundesliga till Matchday 12 when they lost away to Bayern 2-1, the toughest fixture they will play all season. Wout Weghorst is on course to score 20+ goals this season & finishing in the Top 4 is a real possibility.
The Sports Books have got this one wrong, even with Haaland back. Offering Wolfsburg & the Draw at +150 is excellent value & they’ve underestimated Die Wölfe.
Prediction – 2 Units: VFL Wolfsburg or the Draw +150
ARMINIA BIELEFELD VS BORUSSIA MÖNCHENGLADBACH
Borussia Mönchengladbach have been inconsistent this season, but, that’s due to the demands of playing Champions League football. The winter break has given them a chance to regroup & I’m positive we’ll see a big improvement from them in the coming weeks.
They will have to do it without Marcus Thuram, who is unavailable till January 22nd when they face Borussia Dortmund. Their star player is 1 games into a 5 game ban for spitting in Stefan Posch’s face. Can you imagine your dad being Lilian Thuram & taking his phone call after the game? The incident occurred in the 2-1 loss to Hoffenheim & he apologized on instagram after the game.
“Today something took place that is not in my character and must never happen. I reacted to an opponent in a wrong way and something occurred accidentally and not intentionally.”
Arminia Bielefeld are sitting in 16th with 10 points. 9 of those have come from wins against relegation rivals FC Schalke 04, Mainz & Köln. Apart from a draw against Eintracht Frankfurt, on the opening day of the season, it’s been constant defeats against the leagues better equipped sides.
Gladbach win this one convincingly.
Prediction – 2 Units: Borussia Mönchengladbach -1.5 Goals +163
SEASON BETTING RESULTS
WIN %: 54.54%
WHERE TO BET THE BUNDESLIGA IN THE US
In the US, you can legally bet on soccer in New Jersey, Indiana and Pennsylvania.