I got off to a great start in Matchday 18 with Borussia Mönchengladbach coming through for a 4.5 Unit win. RB Leipzig let everyone down, so I finished the weekend with a small profit of 1.5 Units.
GLADBACH WIN THE BATTLE OF THE BORUSSIA’S
What a game this was. Jonas Hoffman scored in the 3rd minute only for VAR to harshly rule it out for a foul in the build-up. That didn’t stop the goals from coming, and it was 2-2 after 32 minutes. Marco Rose’s side pulled away in the second half and deservedly got the 3 points to go into 5th.
Roman Bürki was at fault for 2 of the goals. He failed to parry Lars Stindl’s freekick away from the danger area. Nico Elvedi had the simplest of tap-ins to get his brace and make it 2-2. For Gladbach’s 4th, he stayed on his line as Marcus Thuram headed in. Any goalkeeper worth their salt should be coming to claim every corner that lands in their 6-yard box.
Still, I don’t think you can lay the blame solely at Bürki’s feet. Borussia Dortmund was the inferior side and again relied on Jadon Sancho and Erling Haaland’s individual brilliance to keep themselves in the game. I know I keep bringing it up, but I can’t stop stressing that Dortmund really needs their next manager to give them identity on the pitch. Picking your strongest eleven and hoping they work it out on the pitch only gets you so far.
Gladbach 4-2 Dortmund— Bundesliga English (@Bundesliga_EN) January 22, 2021
One hell of a game 💥 pic.twitter.com/ItP7HO1nar
MAINZ 05 STUN LEIPZIG
This was a truly shocking result. RB Leipzig, the best defense in the league up against Mainz 05 who has struggled to score and just let their highest goalscorer leave on an 18-month loan deal. Everything pointed to a comfortable win for Julian Nagelsmann’s side and a high probability of another clean sheet added to the collection.
35 minutes in, the score was 2-2. Mainz came from behind twice thanks to defender Moussa Niakhaté. He found himself in the right place at the right time to score a brace. On 50 minutes, new loan signing Danny Da Costa dribbled to the byline and managed to get a cross away. Leandro Barreiro beat Péter Gulácsi to the ball at the near post and put his side 3-2 up.
This loss means Leipzig has dropped 8 points in their last 4 games and probably blown their chance of competing with Bayern Munich for the title. Hansi Flick’s side is now 7 points clear at the top, and I highly doubt they will let anyone catch them.
WERDER BREMEN VS FC SCHALKE 04
The USMNT’s biggest striker prospects face off in this game. Josh Sargent and Matthew Hoppe go head to head as Werder Bremen welcomes FC Schalke 04 to the Weserstadion. Let’s look at their scoring odds:
To Score First
- Josh Sargent +540
- Matthew Hoppe +800
To Score Last
- Josh Sargent +540
- Matthew Hoppe +800
To Score Any Time
- Josh Sargent +188
- Matthew Hoppe +295
To Score At Least 2 Goals
- Josh Sargent +1200
- Matthew Hoppe +2200
Sports Book’s have pitched Sargent as the more likely player to score, which is crazy to me.
Sargent has scored 2 goals and 23 shot attempts in 17 Bundesliga appearances whilst averaging 83 minutes a game. The 20-year-old is more of a hold-up player who brings others into the game. Werder Bremen’s defense plays long balls to relieve pressure, and Sargent is the one who competes for them. This is evident when you look at his duel stats. He is 25th in the league with 186 won. Sargent is a busy player who’s great at pressing and harrying defenders. He is 29th in the league for distance covered with 174.9 km.
Hoppe has 5 goals and 13 shot attempts in 8 appearances whilst averaging 67 minutes a game. Watch his hat trick against TSG Hoffenheim; he is clearly an instinctive finisher and natural goalscorer. All 3 goals come from playing on the last defender’s shoulder and perfectly timing his run to get in behind.
In Schalke's hour of need, 19-year-old Matthew Hoppe stepped up with the first ever Bundesliga hat-trick by an American player 🎩— Bundesliga English (@Bundesliga_EN) January 9, 2021
What dreams are made of ✨🇺🇸 pic.twitter.com/CfZYuMBVWG
Looking at the stats and how they play, I think there’s great value in backing Hoppe to score anytime +295. For the fun of it, I’m going to put a little change on Schalke’s leading score to get at least 2 goals +2200.
Who does the USMNT’s go with to lead their line? I see no reason why they can’t play together and believe they would compliment each other well. Sargent has been playing in a two this season, and Hoppe would benefit from someone like him doing the dirty work so he can focus on scoring goals.
Who comes out on top in this game? For some reason, my guts telling me that Schalke will get something from this match. I’m going against all logical reasoning and trusting it.
Prediction – 2 Units: FC Schalke 04 or the Draw -105 + 1 Unit: Matthew Hoppe To Score Anytime +295 + 0.5 Units: Matthew Hoppe To Score At Least 2 Goals +2200
RB LEIPZIG VS BAYER LEVERKUSEN
Both of these sides have been scoring goals recently, with Bayer Leverkusen getting 21 in their last 10 games whilst RB Leipzig has 16. Looking at their recent big games, most have resulted in goals. RB Leipzig has played out a 3-1 with Dortmund, 3-3 with Bayern, and 2-2 with VfL Wolfsburg. Leverkusen has played out a 2-1 with Dortmund, 2-1 with Bayern, and 4-3 with Gladbach.
Both of those sides are capable of scoring and conceding goals. I think we will see an end to end thriller.
Prediction – 2 Units: Both Teams To Score Yes and Over 2.5 Goals -104
BAYERN MUNICH VS TSG HOFFENHEIM
Bayern will want revenge for their 4-1 loss back in Matchday 02. They have won 6 of their last 7 Bundesliga games to put them firmly at the top. Joshua Kimmich and Hansi Flick will make sure they start strong, and they will turn Hoffenheim over emphatically by 3 or 4 goals.
Back Die Roten to win both halves.
Prediction – 1 Unit: Bayern Munich To Win Both Halves +128
SEASON BETTING RESULTS
WIN %: 50%
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