I was so close to making a big profit on Matchday 24. Mainz 05 and FC Union Berlin had chances to win their respective games but were both held to 0-0 draws. All 3 of my Der Klassiker picks did hit, which meant I broke just above even with 0.41 Units of profit.
Hit me up on Twitter @RegistaPicks with your thoughts, who you support, and picks for the week.
RB LEIPZIG VS EINTRACHT FRANKFURT BETTING TIPS
It has been a tricky few days for RB Leipzig. They were dumped out of the Champions League 4-0 on aggregate by Liverpool, and a chain of managerial changes could see them without Julian Nagelsmann next season.
Joachim Löw announced this week that he would be stepping down as Germany manager after Euro 2020 this summer. Hansi Flick has emerged as a frontrunner to take the job. The reasoning behind this is he has won everything possible at Bayern Munich and his public falling out with Sporting Director Hasan ‘Brazzo’ Salihamidžić.
Flick was assistant manager to Löw in 2014 when Germany won the World Cup, and it looks like he wants a crack at being in charge. If he does go, Die Roten sees Nagelsmann as the ideal candidate to take over, and I doubt he will be able to resist. The Bayern job is the biggest in the country and will provide him the perfect passage to the managerial elite club.
Hasan Salihamidžić already has a potential successor in mind if Hansi Flick leaves Bayern. Salihamidžić is a fan of Julian Nagelsmann's work. Nagelsmann himself is a childhood Bayern fan and has Bayern in mind as his next step [Bild] pic.twitter.com/VnWTiJyLw7— Sextuple winners 🏆🏆🏆🏆🏆🏆 (@iMiaSanMia) March 10, 2021
Eintracht Frankfurt has followed up their 2-1 win over Bayern Munich with a 2-1 defeat to Werder Bremen and 1-1 draw with VfB Stuttgart. In both games, they dominated possession and created more chances but still came up short.
I recommended Frankfurt or the Draw +118 in my Betting Lines Post earlier this week. I’ve had a change of heart/the kiss of death and feel Leipzig’s exit from Europe is a blessing in disguise. The club, Nagelsmann, and players are hungry to win silverware. They can all now fully focus on the Bundesliga and the DFB-Pokal, which are way more attainable.
We’ll see a few goals as Leipzig keeps the pressure on Bayern in the title race.
Prediction – 2 Units: Parlay RB Leipzig Money Line and Over 2.5 Goals +133
VFL WOLFSBURG VS FC SCHALKE 04 BETTING TIPS
VfL Wolfsburg’s 7 game streak without conceding and 9 game unbeaten run ended on Matchday 24. 8 minutes into their tie with TSG Hoffenheim, Christoph Baumgartner drifted into the box unmarked and walloped a half volley off the underside of the bar.
Wout Weghorst equalized 15 minutes later, but Andrej Kramarić restored Hoffenheim’s lead 4 minutes before halftime thanks again to poor marking. Sebastian Hoeneß will be grateful his side held on for the 2-1 win to relieve some of the pressure he’s been under in recent weeks.
Oliver Glasner’s side has the perfect opponent this Matchday to start up another clean sheet streak. FC Schalke 04 didn’t look much better under Dimitris Grammozis in their 0-0 draw with Mainz last weekend. It was their 27th game of the season, and it was embarrassing at how unfit they were. Players started to cramp up after 60 minutes, and by the end of the game, they were a few of them strewn on the pitch.
Back Wolfsburg to win and get the clean sheet.
Prediction – 3 Units: VfL Wolfsburg to Win to Nil +118
3 GAME MONEY LINE PARLAY
I’ll give you two words why Borussia Dortmund will beat Hertha Berlin:
First penalty ❌— Champions League on CBS Sports (@UCLonCBSSports) March 9, 2021
Second penalty ✅
20-year-old Erling Haaland scores his 20th Champions League goal. 😅 pic.twitter.com/UTg0XYYMau
I watched Arminia Bielefeld against Werder Bremen and FC Union Berlin this past week, and they were pretty poor in both games. If Frank Kramer were going to have an impact, it would have happened by now. Bayer Leverkusen will collect the 3 points.
Do I need to make a case for Wolfsburg beating Schalke?
Prediction – 2 Units: Borussia Dortmund, Bayer Leverkusen and VfL Wolfsburg Money Line Parlay +172
MAINZ 05 VS SC FREIBURG BETTING TIPS
As soon as I saw this fixture, my first thought was goals.
I’ll give Mainz 05 credit; they have improved defensively, with 7 of their last 11 games finishing Under 2.5 Goals. But, SC Freiburg is riding high in 8th and 9 of their last 11 games have finished over 2.5 goals. Looking at the previous 10 meetings between these two, 8 of them have finished Over 2.5 Goals.
I’m trusting my gut.
Prediction – 2 Units: Over 2.5 Goals -104
SEASON BETTING RESULTS
WIN %: 49.38%
WHERE TO BET THE BUNDESLIGA IN THE US
In the US, you can legally bet on soccer in New Jersey, Indiana, and Pennsylvania.