It’s the penultimate Match Day of the season as the Bundesliga comes to a close. Bayern are champions again. Mainz have moved 5 points clear from the relegation zone as they beat an out of sorts Dortmund side.
At this stage of the season it’s difficult to predict which sides will down tools & which will fight to the end as some have nothing to play for. A classic example is back in 2016 when relegated Newcastle smashed Tottenham Hotspur 5-1 with 10 men.
For a full list of odds for every game check out our Bundesliga Betting: Matchday 33 Betting Lines.
FSV MAINZ vs WERDER BREMEN
If the season was 4 games longer, Bremen would finish outside the relegation zone. Florian Kohfeldt has them playing very defensively and effectively. Although it’s hard on the eye, it’s working for them. They gave a good account of themselves against champions Bayern midweek & they’ll be full of confidence with their 5-1 win over SC Paderborn last weekend.
Mainz pulled off a great escape two season ago & they’re looking good to repeat that this season. They recorded a famous victory midweek with 19 year-old Jonathan Michael Burkardt opening the scoring. They only had possession 31% of the game & collectively covered five miles more than Dortmund so fatigue might play a part in this game.
I predicted Bremen to finish in the Relegation / Promotion Playoff spot in my Bundesliga Betting Guide at the restart & I’m sticking with it. 22 of Bremen’s 28 points have come on the road & they’ll get 3 more here.
Prediction – Werder Bremen on the Money Line +150
RB LEIPZIG vs BORUSSIA DORTMUND
Earlier this week, Timo Werner’s transfer to Chelsea was finally confirmed. This will be his last game at the Red Bull Arena. Leipzig were established in 2009 & Timo is the first superstar to emerge under the Red Bull Sports Team brand. It’s sad that he & the fans are denied the chance to say goodbye in person.
Leipzig have struggled at home drawing all four games & Dortmund have thrived on the road winning all 3, scoring nine & conceding just once. BVB are the better team, they play better football & they’ll prove it here to take second spot.
Prediction – Borussia Dortmund on the Money Line +195
HOFFENHEIM vs UNION BERLIN
Midweek relegation threatened Union Berlin beat a SC Paderborn side that has nothing to play for. In this fixture we have the roles reversed with Hoffenheim chasing Europa League qualification & Union Berlin relaxed with safety confirmed.
At this stage its natural to see a dip in teams who have achieved their target for the season & I think we’ll see that here with Union Berlin.
Prediction – Hoffenheim on the Money Line -159
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