Champions League Group G: Who Will Join RB Leipzig In the Knockout Round?

High Press 10 November 8, 2019 136 Reads

With four of the six 2019-20 UEFA Champions League group stages matches done this week, High Press Soccer will take a look at every bracket and examine who will likely go through.

When Champions League brackets were originally formed, Group G was immediately identified as the most evenly-matched one. All four teams had a shot to win. After four matches, it’s the only group where all four teams at least have a realistic path to advance.

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Champions League Group G Standings

ClubMPWDLGFGAGDPoints
RB Leipzig43016429
Lyon42117437
Zenit St Petersburg411256-14
Benfica410359-43

Champions League Group G Top 2 Odds

Despite being a Pot 4 team, RB Leipzig was considered the likely favorite to win this group from day 1. While not as dominant as we expected, they’re still comfortably in position to advance–and likely win–the group.

ClubWinnerTop 2
RB Leipzig-335-3335
Lyon+225-500
Zenit+600+300
Benfica+1100

After Leipzig, it really comes down to Zenit and Lyon. While Zenit is currently in third, they are a very good value at +300 to move past Lyon and into the Round of 16.

Is Lyon in danger?

It’s possible.

Per 538, Lyon is not favored to win either of their two remaining matches.

To be fair, oddsmakers have them about even with Zenit on November 27th for the win. Zenit though have a distinct home advantage.

On the final matchday, Lyon host RB Leipzig while Zenit travels to Benfica.

If Zenit defeat Lyon on the 27th, they’ll both be tied at 7 points. Matchday 6 would determine who advances. The saving grace for Lyon is if Leipzig are comfortably through, atop the group and with little to play for, they may not roll out their A team. Benfica will be favored to beat Zenit.

So while Lyon should be odds-on to advance as they currently are, there is a realistic path for Pot 1 Zenit as well.

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