EURO 2020 Betting: Best Tips, Futures and Longshots

Posted By Alex Blowers on June 7, 2021

We are days away from Euro 2020 kicking off, and Sports Books have multiple betting markets available for the competition. Here are my best betting Futures, Tips, and Longshots.

WHO WILL WIN EURO 2020?

Here are Draftkings, BetMGM’s, and FanDuel’s odds for the 8 favorites to win Euro 2020.

NATIONDRAFTKINGSBETMGMFANDUAL
FRANCE+500+450+500
ENGLAND+540+550+470
BELGIUM+750+600+650
PORTUGAL+800+800+900
GERMANY+900+800+750
ITALY+900+800+800
SPAIN+900+800+700
NETHERLANDS+1400+1200+1200
**ODDS TAKEN JUNE 6TH 2021**

As you can see, there’s a disparity in the odds Sports Books are offering, so make sure you shop around to get the best value.

I can’t see beyond France winning Euro 2020. They have the strongest squad going into the tournament and essentially the same starting XI that beat Croatia 4-2 in the 2018 World Cup Final:

France’s 2018 World Cup final Starting XI: (4-4-2) GK: Lloris   DEF: Pavard, Varane, Umtiti, L. Hernández   MID: Mbappé, Pogba, Kante, Matuidi   STR: Griezmann, Giroud

France’s Euro 2020 possible Starting XI: (4-2-3-1) GK: Lloris   DEF: Pavard, Varane, Kimpembe, L. Hernández   MID: Pogba, Kante,   AM: Mbappé, Griezmann, Coman   STR: Benzema

Karim Benzema is an upgrade on Olivier Giroud. When Cristiano Ronaldo left Real Madrid, everyone thought Gareth Bale and Eden Hazard would be the ones to fill the goalscoring void. Instead, Benzema is the one who stepped up, scoring 87 goals in the last three seasons.

His 6-year exile from the French national side has never been about his footballing ability. Benzema is suspected of pressuring Matthieu Valbuena to pay blackmailers who threatened to reveal a sex tape in which Valbuena featured. He is set to stand trial in October for the 2015 incident and denies any wrongdoing.

The excellent Presnel Kimpembe has dislodged Samuel Umtiti, who has been left out of the squad. Blaise Matuidi has stuck to his plans to retire from international football in 2020, and Kingsley Coman should take his place in the Starting XI.

Didier Deschamps is a pragmatic manager who will sacrifice style and flair over winning and the collective good. It’s possible he could bench Coman for Moussa Sissoko or Adrien Rabiot to play a conservative 4-3-3 against tougher opposition.

BETTING TIP: France  Draftkings +500  |  BetMGM  +450  |  Fandual  +500

EURO 2020 TEAMS TOP GOALSCORER

Here are my best value picks for Teams Top Goalscorer from Draftkings and BetMGM.

TEAM TOP GOALSCORERDRAFTKINGSBETMGM
GERMANY: THOMAS MÜLLER+600+600
NETHERLANDS: WOUT WEGHORST+800+1400
POLAND: ARKADIUSZ MILIK+700+900
FINLAND: ROBIN LOD+600+2500
DENMARK: CHRISTIAN ERIKSEN+150+450
SWEDEN: EMIL FORSBERG+400+1400
**ODDS TAKEN JUNE 6TH 2020**

As you can see, there’s a disparity in the odds Sports Books are offering, so make sure you shop around to get the best value.

Thomas Müller has been superb for Bayern Munich under Hansi Flick, contributing 44 assists and 29 goals. The 2010 World Cup Golden Boot and 2014 World Cup winner still has a decent engine on him, ranking 12th for distance covered in the Bundesliga this season. I’m confident he will start and be one of Germany’s biggest goalscoring threats.

Wout Weghorst has been at the top of his game this season, scoring 25 goals for VfL Wolfsburg. He has started both of the Netherlands’ warm-up games against Wales and Georgia, scoring against the latter. Their group comprises North Macedonia, Austria, and Ukraine, so he could grab a few goals early on and is excellent value at +1400 on BetMGM.

Arkadiusz Milik is Poland’s second-biggest goal threat behind Robert Lewandowski. If Bayern’s Number 9 comes up short or gets injured, there’s a solid chance Milik will be their top goalscorer.

Teemu Pukki is Finland’s only genuine goalscoring threat but is struggling with an ankle ligament injury. With doubts over his fitness, Robin Lod at +2500 on BetMGM is outstanding value. With Belgium, Russia, and Denmark in their group, one goal could be enough for this to cash.

Christian Eriksen is Denmark’s designated penalty taker and a set-piece specialist. The Dane’s front three, Martin Braithwaite, Yussuf Poulsen, and Jonas Wind, aren’t known for being prolific goalscorers. At +450 on BetMGM, Eriksen is worth considering.

At +1400 on BetMGM, Emil Forsberg is worth throwing a little money on. He isn’t a prolific goalscorer, but yet again, no one is in Sweden’s squad.

BEST VALUE BETTING TIP: Thomas Müller  Draftkings +600  |  BetMGM +600

BEST VALUE LONGSHOTS: Robin Lod BetMGM +2500  |  Wout Weghorst BetMGM +1400  |  Emil Forsberg BetMGM +1400

WHO WILL WIN THE EURO 2020 PLAYER OF THE TOURNAMENT?

Draftkings are the only Sports Book offering this market, and my monies on N’Golo Kante winning the award.

He has been in superb form for Chelsea, earning Player of the Match in the Champions League Last 16 Second Leg, both legs of the Semi-finals and the Final. Barring injury or suspension, he will play every minute for France in the knockout rounds. Also, there is so much positivity around Kante on social media it’s ridiculous. He’s one of those rare players everyone loves and has all of the momentum going into the tournament.

BETTING TIP: N’Golo Kante Draftkings +1000

EURO 2020 BETTING LONGSHOTS

WINNER + TOP GOALSCORER

In my Euro 2020 Betting: Who Will Win the Golden Boot? post, I recommend backing Harry Kane and Romelu Lukaku to top the goalscoring charts, and Thomas Müller is one of my Longshots. In this post, I recommend backing France to lift the trophy on July 11th.

Draftkings and BetMGM are both offering Euro 2020 Winner and Top Goalscorer specials that are good valued Longshots.

WINNER + TOP GOALSCORERDRAFTKINGSBETMGM
FRANCE + HARRY KANE+5000+5000
FRANCE + ROMELU LUKAKU+5000+5000
FRANCE + THOMAS MÜLLER+40,000N/A
**ODDS TAKEN JUNE 6TH 2021**

LONGSHOT WINNER

My Euro 2020 Longshot winner is Austria, who could be the surprise package. Their squad is stacked with solid Bundesliga talent, and they have elite quality in David Alaba and Marcel Sabitzer.

Upfront, they have Saša Kalajdžić, one of the game’s rising stars. The 23-year-old scored 16 goals and provided 5 assists for VfB Stuttgart this season, going on a seven-game scoring streak earlier this year. At 6’7″, it’s easy to mistake him as a target man, but he’s technically gifted and great with the ball at his feet. He is attracting attention from some of Europe’s biggest clubs, and I wouldn’t be surprised if he’s lining up for a new club next season.

BETTING TIP: Austria To Win Euro 2020  Draftkings +10,000  |  BetMGM  +10,000  |  Fandual  +9500

GOLDEN BOOT LONGSHOTS

**Copied From My Euro 2020 Betting: Who Will Win the Golden Boot? post**

Looking through the longshots, my eye was instantly drawn to Thomas Müller. The self-proclaimed Raumdeuter (Space Interpreter), Mats Hummels, and Jérôme Boateng were told by Joachim Löw they had no future with the German national team shortly after the 2018 World Cup. His form declined, and there was talk of Bayern Munich selling him.

That all changed after the club appointed Hansi Flick in November 2019, helping Müller play some of the best football of his career. These past two seasons, he has contributed 44 assists and 29 goals in all competitions forcing Löw to reverse his decision. The 2010 World Cup Golden Boot and 2014 World Cup winner still has a decent engine on him, ranking 12th for distance covered in the Bundesliga this season.

I’ve watched Bayern a lot these past two seasons, and Müller has been superb. At +6000, he’s definitely worth investing in.

BETTING TIP: Thomas Müller to win the Golden Boot  Draftkings +6000  |  BetMGM +3400  |  FanDuel +3400

Andrej Kramarić kicked off the 2020/21 Bundesliga campaign with 7 goals in 4 games and finished the season with 20. He has proven time and time again he’s an excellent finisher capable of scoring multiple goals in a game.

It’s ridiculous that BetMGM have him at +10,000 when he has the likes of Mateo Kovačić, Luka Modrić, Marcelo Brozović, Ivan Perišić, and Josip Brekalo feeding him. I highly recommend throwing a little money behind Croatia’s Number 9.

BETTING TIP: Andrej Kramarić to win the Golden Boot  Draftkings +4000  |  BetMGM +10,000  |  FanDuel +8000

WHERE TO BET EURO 2020 IN THE US

In the US, you can legally bet on soccer in 14 states at both online and retail sportsbooks.

We recommend DraftKings Sportsbook for Colorado, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Michigan, New Hampshire, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, Virginia, and West Virginia.

We also recommend FanDuel Sportsbook for Arkansas, Delaware, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Michigan, Mississippi, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, Tennessee, Virginia, and West Virginia.

Alex Blowers Avatar
Written by
Alex Blowers

Betting advice for the Premier League & Bundesliga! Twitter - @Regista_Alex

View all posts by Alex Blowers
Privacy Policy