WHAT: Euro 2020, Group F, Round 3
LINE: Germany -560 | Draw +650 | Hungary +1500
KICK OFF: Wednesday, June 23rd, 3PM EST
WHERE: Allianz Arena, Munich, Germany
WATCH: ESPN 2, PrendeTV
Germany’s 4-2 win over Portugal has put them in a brilliant position to qualify for the Knockout Stage. Avoiding defeat here should be enough to progress, and they will be full of confidence playing in Munich with their destiny in their own hands.
Hungary’s draw with France have given them a glimmer of hope progressing to the Knockout Stages. A win here would put them on four points, and that could be enough to take second in the group and definitely enough to qualify as one of the four best third-placed teams.
With everything to play for, we’re in for a brilliant game of football.
Here are links to High Press Soccer’s Euro 2020 Group Guides.
Euro 2020 Group A Preview: Italy, Switzerland, Turkey and Wales
Euro 2020 Group B Preview: Belgium, Denmark, Finland and Russia
Euro 2020 Group C Preview: Austria, Netherlands, North Macedonia and Ukraine
Eur0 2020 Group D Preview: Croatia, Czech Republic, England and Scotland
Euro 2020 Group E Preview: Poland, Slovakia, Spain and Sweden
Euro 2020 Group F Preview: France, Germany, Hungary and Portugal
GERMANY POSSIBLE STARTING XI
I still think Joachim Löw needs to switch Germany to a back four and move Joshua Kimmich into central midfield. His sides 4-2 win over Portugal will reinforce his belief in this 3-4-3 wingback system. Robin Gosens was superb down the left, scoring and providing crosses for two of the goals.
Löw will be forced to make one change now Thomas Müller has been ruled out with a knee injury till the Quarterfinals. Leroy Sané is expected to take his place.
Mats Hummels is also struggling with a knee injury, with Niklas Süle ready to take his place if needed. I would drop ilkay Gündogan for Leon Goretzka. The Bayern Munich box-to-box midfielder brings more energy and drive in the final third. Goretzka was unfortunate not to score against Portugal with his effort crashing off the top of the bar.
GERMANY EURO 2020 ROSTER
MANAGER: Joachim Löw
GK: Manuel Neuer (Bayern Munich), Bernd Leno (Arsenal), Kevin Trapp (Eintracht Frankfurt)
DEF: Matthias Ginter (Borussia Mönchengladbach), Antonio Rüdiger (Chelsea), Robin Gosens (Atalanta), Christian Günter (SC Freiburg), Marcel Halstenberg (RB Leipzig), Mats Hummels (Borussia Dortmund), Lukas Klostermann (RB Leipzig), Robin Koch (Leeds United), Niklas Süle (Bayern Munich)
MID: ilkay Gündogan (Manchester City), Toni Kroos (Real Madrid), Emre Can (Borussia Dortmund), Joshua Kimmich (Bayern Munich), Thomas Müller (Bayern Munich), Jamal Musiala (Bayern Munich), Serge Gnabry (Bayern Munich), Leon Goretzka (Bayern Munich), Kai Havertz (Chelsea), Jonas Hofmann (Borussia Mönchengladbach), Leroy Sané (Bayern Munich), Florian Neuhaus (Borussia Mönchengladbach)
FWD: Timo Werner (Chelsea), Kevin Volland (AS Monaco)
HUNGARY POSSIBLE STARTING XI
Hungary’s captain Adam Szalai has been ruled out of this game with a knee injury, and I think Willí Orbán will be given the armband. Nemanja Nikolic will come into the starting lineup and partner Roland Sallai in attack.
That will be the only change Marco Rossi makes to his side that held France to a 1-1 draw.
HUNGARY EURO 2020 ROSTER
MANAGER: Marco Rossi
GK: Péter Gulácsi (RB Leipzig), Ádám Bogdán (Ferencvárosi TC), Dénes Dibusz (Ferencvarosi TC)
DEF: Bendegúz Bolla (MOL Fehérvár FC), Endre Botka (Ferencvárosi TC), Attila Fiola (MOL Fehérvár FC), Ákos Kecskés (FC Lugano), Ádám Lang (Omonia Nicosia), Gergo Lovrencsics (Ferencvárosi TC), Loic Négo (MOL Fehérvár FC), Willi Orbán (RB Leipzig), Attila Szalai (Fenerbahçe)
MID: Tamás Cseri (Mezokövesd Zsóry), Dániel Gazdag (Philadelphia Union), László Kleinheisler (NK Osijek), Ádám Nagy (Bristol City), András Schäfer (DAC Dunajská Streda), Dávid Sigér (Fernecvárosi TC), Kevin Varga (Kasimpasa), Roland Varga (MTK Budapest)
FWD: János Hahn (Paksi), Filip Holender (FK Partizan), Nemanja Nikolics (MOL Fehérvár FC), Roland Sallai (SC Freiburg), Szabolcs Schön (FC Dallas), Ádám Szalai (Mainz 05)
GERMANY VS HUNGARY BETTING TIPS
If you’re looking for value, +148 is very good odds for Hungary +0.5 Goals on the First Half Asian Handicap market.
A lot of people wrote Hungary off in this Group. Portugal and France found it difficult to break them down in Budapest, and I think Germany will struggle even though they have home advantage in Munich. They will miss Müller’s organization, experience, and movement in the final third, especially against Rossi’s side who are well drilled and defends together as a unit.
BETTING TIP: First Half Asian Handicap Hungary +0.5 Goals +148
I think Over 1.5 Goals in the second half is a safe bet. Hungary will have to open up at some point and go for the win. Leroy Sané and Serge Gnabry’s pace on the counter will lead to goals for Germany.
BETTING TIP: Second Half Over 1.5 Goals -167
If you’re looking for bigger odds, I like the first half to finish in a draw and Germany to win it in the second. Again, Hungary will keep it tight in the opening 45 minutes and take more risks in the second half.
BETTING TIP: Halftime / Fulltime: Draw / Germany +335
WHERE TO BET EURO 2020 IN THE US
In the US, you can legally bet on soccer in 14 states at both online and retail sportsbooks.
DraftKings Sportsbook is available in Colorado, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Michigan, New Hampshire, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, Virginia, and West Virginia.
FanDuel Sportsbook is available in Arkansas, Delaware, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Michigan, Mississippi, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, Tennessee, Virginia, and West Virginia.