WHAT: Euro 2020, Group E, Round 2
LINE: Spain -286 | Draw +410 | Poland +850
KICK OFF: Saturday, June 19th, 3PM EST
WHERE: Estadio de la Cartuja, Sevilla, Spain
WATCH: ESPN 3, ABC
Both sides kicked off their Euro 2020 campaigns with disappointing results. Spain dominated against Sweden but were held to a 0-0 draw thanks to poor finishing and the heroics of goalkeeper Robin Olsen. Poland lost 2-1 to Slovakia and will be disappointed with their defending and bad luck for Róbert Mak’s opening goal.
Here are links to High Press Soccer’s Euro 2020 Group Guides.
Euro 2020 Group A Preview: Italy, Switzerland, Turkey and Wales
Euro 2020 Group B Preview: Belgium, Denmark, Finland and Russia
Euro 2020 Group C Preview: Austria, Netherlands, North Macedonia and Ukraine
Eur0 2020 Group D Preview: Croatia, Czech Republic, England and Scotland
Euro 2020 Group E Preview: Poland, Slovakia, Spain and Sweden
Euro 2020 Group F Preview: France, Germany, Hungary and Portugal
Hit me up on Twitter @RegistaPicks with your tips for Euro 2020.
SPAIN POSSIBLE STARTING XI
Spain did everything but score against Sweden, recording 85% possession, 17 shots on target, and finished the game with an Expected Goals of 2.35. Álvaro Morata was heavily criticized for failing to take his chances, but I’m confident Luis Enrique will keep faith in him and stick with the same Starting XI, formation, and system.
After the game, the Spain boss said the Juventus striker had a “great game” and that his side “Were by far the better team. The opposition tried to hang back, we completely controlled the game and tried to create as many chances as possible.”
“We had sufficient chances to win the game. What went wrong? It’s the fact we didn’t take those chances. It’s very clear, and we all saw it.”
If Sergio Busquets was available, we would see him come in for Rodri. But, unfortunately, the Barcelona midfielder is still absent after testing positive for COVID-19, and La Roja are hoping he returns for their final group game against Slovakia.
SPAIN EURO 2020 ROSTER
MANAGER: Luis Enrique
GK: David de Gea (Manchester United), Unai Simón (Athletic Bilbao), Robert Sánchez (Brighton)
DEF: José Gayà (Valencia), Jordi Alba (Barcelona), Pau Torres (Villarreal), Aymeric Laporte (Manchester City), Eric García (Manchester City), Diego Llorente (Leeds United), César Azpilicueta (Chelsea)
MID: Thiago Alcántara (Liverpool), Sergio Busquets (Barcelona), Koke (Atlético Madrid), Marcos Llorente (Atlético Madrid), Dani Olmo (RB Leipzig), Rodri (Manchester City), Fabián Ruiz (Napoli), Pablo Sarabia (PSG), Ferran Torres (Manchester City), Adama Traoré (Wolves)
FWD: Álvaro Morata (Juventus), Gerard Moreno (Villarreal), Mikel Oyarzabal (Real Sociedad), Pedri (Barcelona)
POLAND POSSIBLE STARTING XI
Paulo Sousa needs to select a replacement for Grzegorz Krychowiak, who is serving a one-match ban after getting sent off in their opening game. I think he will bring in defensive midfielder Jakub Moder, who made 12 appearances for Brighton this season in the Premier League.
Robert Lewandowski was fairly anonymous against Slovakia, failing to register a shot on target. Poland needs a big performance from their captain if they’re to get anything from this game and keep their hopes of qualifying for the Knockout Stages alive.
POLAND EURO 2020 ROSTER
MANAGER: Paulo Sousa
GK: Łukasz Fabiański (West Ham), Łukasz Skorupski (Bologna), Wojciech Szczęsny (Juventus)
DEF: Jan Bednarek (Southampton), Bartosz Bereszyński (Sampdoria), Kamil Glik (Benevento), Michał Helik (Barnsley), Tomasz Kędziora (Dynamo Kyiv), Kamil Piątkowski (Raków Częstochowa), Tymoteusz Puchacz (Lech Poznań), Maciej Rybus (Lokomotiv Moscow)
MID: Paweł Dawidowicz (Hellas Verona), Przemysław Frankowski (Chicago Fire), Kamil Jóźwiak (Derby County), Mateusz Klich (Leeds United), Kacper Kozłowski (Pogoń Szczecin), Grzegorz Krychowiak (Lokomotiv Moscow), Karol Linetty (Torino), Jakub Moder (Brighton), Przemysław Płacheta (Norwich City), Piotr Zieliński (Napoli)
FWD: Dawid Kownacki (Fortuna Düsseldorf), Robert Lewandowski (Bayern Munich), Arkadiusz Milik (Olympique de Marseille), Karol Świderski (PAOK), Jakub Świerczok (Piast Gliwice)
SPAIN VS POLAND BETTING TIPS
Both sides need a win here, but Poland knows they can’t go toe to toe with Spain in the Sevilla heat. It’s forecast to hit 75 degrees on Saturday with 63% humidity. I’m confident Sousa’s game plan will be to set up in a low block for the opening 45 minutes to frustrate their opponents, reserve his players’ energy levels, and try and win it in the second half.
This will allow Spain to dominate possession, and they will remain patient in the opening stages, recycling possession trying to tire Poland’s players. Enrique has quality options on the bench, and he will introduce a couple in the second half to get the three points.
Back Spain to win it in the second half 1-0 or 2-0.
BETTING TIP: Halftime / Fulltime – Draw / Spain +310
BETTING TIP: Under 2.5 Goals +100
WHERE TO BET EURO 2020 IN THE US
In the US, you can legally bet on soccer in 14 states at both online and retail sportsbooks.
DraftKings Sportsbook is available in Colorado, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Michigan, New Hampshire, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, Virginia, and West Virginia.
FanDuel Sportsbook is available in Arkansas, Delaware, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Michigan, Mississippi, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, Tennessee, Virginia, and West Virginia.