Who: Liverpool vs Burnley
When: Saturday, July 11th @ 10:00am ET
Line: Liverpool -400| Draw +525 | Burnley +1050
Oddsmakers don’t know what to make of Liverpool after the restart.
On one hand, they value the Reds about the same as Manchester United right now. Against comparable opponents, Man U is getting similar / better odds.
That’s a step down for a team on pace to break the Premier League record for points!
Then again, despite only one truly dominating performance after the restart (the 4-0 paddling vs Palace), Liverpool are getting a bump this week vs Burnley.
Jurgen Klopp’s men are -400 to Burnley’s +1050. Just a week ago, Aston Villa were +850 at Anfield. Burnley are a solid mid-table squad. Villa are going back down to the Championship.
So who knows. Here’s a quick look at the match.
Liverpool vs Burnley Preview
Burnley are in solid form after the restart, claiming the sixth most points of any club. Their only loss was a 5-0 shellacking vs FFP violating Manchester City.
Liverpool are fourth in form post restart. Their only loss also [sentence redacted].
A real issue for Liverpool could be the loss of Jordan Henderson. While he avoided a serious knee injury, the Reds’ captain will still miss the remainder of the season. Hendo is the ultimate field general. He motivates the lads when their energy drops. He will be missed.
Burnley will play hard and physical (bordering on dirty). Their best hope in this match is to “Atletico” the Reds by scoring early, dropping 10 men and grinding out a win.
If Liverpool can get on the board early, they’ll stampede the Clarets just like City. Other than Dwight McNeil in the midfield (2 goals, 6 assists) and Chris Wood up top (11 goals), Burnley doesn’t have the fire-power for an open match. Sean Dyche will have them well-organized and tightly packed.
To break them down, expect Klopp to start Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain in the midfield. His ability to both penetrate and blast from far out will come in handy.
Mo Salah is super hungry for goals. While Dyche will have him marked, look for Salah to get one past the Clarets. He hasn’t scored one against them since September of 2017. He’s due.
This isn’t going to be a steamrolling. Liverpool will miss Hendo. They’ll grind out a 2-0 win.