Who: Newcastle vs Liverpool
When: Sunday, July 26th @ 11:00am ET
Line: Newcastle +650| Draw +420 | Liverpool -265
This match is not one of them.
Liverpool hoisted the trophy on Wednesday. It was glorious. If not for a truly annoying bout of casualness to end the season, this match would have Liverpool going for the all-time points record. But nah.
The one record at stake is tying Manchester City’s all-time win total for a season (32). Also, a Liverpool win and City draw or loss would give the Reds the biggest ever gap between first and second place in Premier League history (current record: 19).
Here’s a look a match that ultimately means nothing: Newcastle vs Liverpool, July 26 2020.
Newcastle vs Liverpool preview
Newcastle have exceeded many people’s expectation this season. Most (including us at High Press Soccer) expected the Steve Bruce hire to be a disaster. While he’s no Rafa, he’s been…ok!
Last season Newcastle finished 13th with 45 points.
This season, Newcastle sits…13th with 44 points.
However, the underlying numbers suggest the Magpies have been exceedingly lucky this season.
Newcastle are dead last in the Premier League in xPTs. The discrepancy is on the defensive end. Their xGA is almost 12 goals more than what they’ve actually allowed. Tip of the cap to goalkeeper Martin Dubravka, who leads the Premier League in saves (137, 9 more than Tim Krul).
Liverpool are third in the Premier League in shots per game (15.6), trailing Man City (19.3) and Chelsea (16.6). Dubravka will be busy af.
As for line-ups, it’s hard to predict who Jurgen Klopp will roll out in an ultimately meaningless game. The 2020-21 Premier League season starts on September 12th. With a meager $40M transfer budget, Klopp can’t risk injuries going into next season.
Expect him to give Mo Salah a start and shot at 20 goals. It’s safe to assume youngsters like Neco Williams, Curtis Jones, and Harvey Elliott are given some run as a confidence builder for next season (especially given the transfer budget limitations). Klopp needs his fringe starters to step up next season. Takumi Minamino may get a start here. Same for the likely staying put Xherdan Shaqiri.
Ultimately though, 🤷♂️.
Again, this is a tough one to predict. Oddsmakers though have Liverpool heavily favored. So let’s go with a surprisingly tidy 3-0 win.