The 2019-20 Premier League season is at the halfway. All but Liverpool and West Ham have played 19 matches.
Here’s what we know with near certainty: Liverpool will win the Premier League this season.
From there, things are starting to crystallize but are far from certain.
So…who will qualify for the Champions League with Liverpool? Who is getting sent down? Here’s how things look at the midway point.
Premier League title and top 4 odds
After Manchester City bottled yet another game, this time blowing a 2-0 lead to Wolves on Friday, Liverpool saw their title odds move from -1000 to -2000. Halfway through the season, that is an enormous number.
With the Premier League out of reach and inevitable UCL collapse a couple of months away, City will shift its focus to adding another Carabao Cup to their trophy cabinet. The good news for the FOURMIDABLES is oddsmakers still view them as a lock to qualify for next year’s Champions League.
|Liverpool||-2000||Off the board
Leicester and Chelsea currently have a strong hold on the remaining two spots, but watch out for Tottenham or Wolves to make a run.
Wolves in particular are gaining confidence and looking strong as the year goes on. Taking 6 points from City already is huge. Sandwiched between a match vs Liverpool at Anfield on Sunday and return home game at the end of January, Wolves have a favorable run of matches in England (@ Watford, vs Newcastle, @ Southampton). Taking 9 points there should set them up well for a UCL run.
Wolves end the season away at Chelsea in a match that may determine who finishes fourth. Their top 4 odds of +700 may not get any better than they are today.
Premier League relegation odds
On the other end of the spectrum, the relegation battle is becoming more clear. However, some bottom dwellers are showing signs of life.
Norwich find themselves as overwhelming relegation favorites at -835. At odds on, they’re joined by Watford (-200) and Aston Villa (-112).
Thanks to Southampton’s recent run of form, the Saints (+600) are far removed from the oddsmaker’s danger zone. The other clubs considered reasonable relegation candidates are:
- West Ham +275
- Bournemouth +300
Premier League promotion odds
So we think we know who’s going down…then who is coming up?
Leeds are odds on to win the Championship at -112 and -1000 to finish top 2 and rejoin the Premier League.
West Brom are also overwhelming favorites to finish in the top 2 and secure promotion at -835.
After them, Brentford, Fulham, and Sheffield Wednesday are the most likely candidates to join the first division.
How things looked at the beginning of the season…
Back in August just before the EPL season began, City were around -200 and Liverpool +275 to end up as domestic champions.
538 saw it about the same, with City at 55% to Liverpool’s 31% to win the EPL.
On the relegation end, Sheffield, Norwich and Brighton were viewed as most likely to be sent down. While Sheffield is a legitimate top 6 contender and Brighton has performed well, despite some surprising early results, Norwich is still likely to find themselves back in the Championship.
Where to Bet Premier League in US
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