Premier League Betting 21/22: Manchester City vs Tottenham Betting Preview

Written By Alex Blowers on February 18, 2022

This weekend’s marquee Premier League fixture sees leaders Manchester City host Top 4 contenders Tottenham. The hosts are coming off a perfect performance in the UEFA Champions League, beating Sporting CP 5-0. That result all but confirmed Pep Guardiola‘s side’s advancement to the Quarterfinals allowing them to switch focus back to the Premier League.

Tottenham didn’t play midweek, but Antonio Conte still managed to grab the headlines. He gave an honest assessment of the club’s January transfer business, and I agree with everything.

“We lost four players in January. Four important players for Tottenham, and we brought in only two.”

“It is inevitable that if you want to grow quicker and if you want to be competitive more rapidly, you need players with a lot of experience, because they also raise the experience level of the overall team,” Conte said. 

He’s managing expectations and being truthful about Tottenham’s ability to compete with the clubs above them when they adopt this transfer policy.

The game is scheduled to kick off Saturday at 12:30 PM EST and will be shown live on NBC.

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Premier League Betting: Manchester City vs Tottenham Betting Preview

*Odds Taken from DraftKings Friday, February 18th, 3:05 AM EST


CompetitionOpponentHome/AwayGoals ForGoals AgainstTotal GoalsxG ForxG AgainstTotal xGxG Difference
Premier LeagueSouthamptonAway1121.51.02.5+0.5
FA CupFulhamHome415N/AN/AN/AN/A
Premier LeagueBrentfordAway2022.00.72.7+1.3
Premier LeagueNorwich CityHome4044.40.54.9+3.9
UCLSporting CPAway5051.80.11.9+1.7
Total / Average Per Game16 / 3.22 / 0.418 / 3.69.7 / 2.422.3 / 0.5712.0 / 3.0+7.4 / +1.85

Stats taken from FBREF

Premier League Betting: Manchester City vs Tottenham Betting Preview

Out: Cole Palmer (Foot)
Doubtful: Gabriel Jesus (Muscular), Jack Grealish (Shin)
Suspended: Benjamin Mendy (Police Investigation)
Coach: Pep Guardiola

We could see Jack Grealish and Gabriel Jesus on the bench if they pass late fitness tests.

John Stones is expected to drop out of the starting XI for the first-choice right-back Kyle Walker. The former Tottenham player was suspended for the midweek victory over Sporting CP.

If Guardiola decides to rotate, we could see ilkay Gündogan, Fernandinho, and Oleksander Zinchenko come into the starting lineup.


CompetitionOpponentHome/AwayGoals ForGoals AgainstTotal GoalsxG ForxG AgainstTotal xGxG Difference
Premier LeagueLeicester CityAway3253.71.55.2+2.2
Premier LeagueChelseaAway0220.40.91.3-0.5
FA CupBrightonHome314N/AN/AN/AN/A
Premier LeagueSouthamptonHome2351.52.64.1-1.1
Premier LeagueWolvesHome0221.61.32.9+0.3
Total / Average Per Game8 / 1.610 / 218 / 3.67.2 / 1.86.3 / 1.5713.5 / 3.37+0.9 / +0.22

Stats taken from FBREF

Premier League Betting: Manchester City vs Tottenham Betting Preview

Out: Japhet Tanganga (Knee)
Doubtful: Eric Dier (Thigh), Oliver Skipp (Groin)
Suspended: None
Coach: Antonio Conte

Matt Doherty and Ryan Sessegnon will drop to the bench for first-choice wing-backs Sergio Reguilón and Emerson Royal. Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg will come into midfield alongside January signing Rodrigo Bentancur.

I think they will be the only changes Antonio Conte makes to the starting XI that lost 2-0 to Wolves last weekend. They outperformed their opponents 1.6 to 1.3 xG’s but were let down by poor goalkeeping from Hugo Lloris.

Eric Dier has returned to first-team training and could make the bench. Loan signing Dejan Kulusevski made an impact from the bench last weekend, and we’ll see Conte introduce him at some point.


It’s pretty wild to see Manchester City so heavily favored against a team from the Big Six who have one of the world’s best managers in Antonio Conte. Recently, I’ve been successful with Same Game Parlay’s, and I think that’s the way to go here to find value.

Looking at the options, I like Manchester to score early and be leading at half-time and full-time. These two have averaged 3.6 total goals in their last five fixtures, making Over 1.5 a pretty safe bet. If you want better value, you can go with Over 2.5, which increases the odds to +130.

PREMIER LEAGUE BETTING TIPS: Same Game Parlay Over 1.5 Goals and Halftime / Fulltime Manchester City / Manchester City -110


In the US, you can legally bet on soccer in more than two dozen states. You can bet online in some states, but only in-person betting is allowed in most of them.

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Alex Blowers

Betting advice for the Premier League, Bundesliga & UEFA Champions League! Alex also contributes to NBC Sports Edge and TheLines. You can follow him on Twitter @AlexJBlowers

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