Premier League Betting 21/22: Matchday 28 Lines, Analysis and Tips

Written By Alex Blowers on March 2, 2022

The biggest talking point from last week’s action was VAR’s bizarre decision not to award Everton a penalty. Two minutes after Phil Foden broke the deadlock, Rodri clearly handled the ball, and everyone watching the replays knew it was a stonewall penalty. So much so that when VAR didn’t give it or call the referee to the pitchside monitor, we all thought it was because Richarlison was offside in the build-up.

It turns out the VAR official deemed the evidence to be inconclusive 🤯. If you think that’s inconclusive, you’re in the wrong profession, and PGMOL managing director Mike Riley‘s personal apology to Frank Lampard and Bill Kenwright means absolutely nothing. The Toffees are fighting for their lives, and if they go down by a point, they’ll look back at this moment and think what should have been.

You can always hit me up on Twitter @AlexJBlowers for advice, your picks, and thoughts on what’s happening in the world of soccer. If you’re unsure about what markets to bet on this Matchday, you can read on to see my analysis and check out our Premier League Betting Guide.

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Let’s take a look at the 2021-22 Premier League Matchday 28 Betting Lines, Analysis, and Tips.


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No one wanted El Loco‘s time at Elland Road to end like this. The club legend deserved to bow out on better terms after taking them back to the Premier League and turning them into one of the most exciting teams in England to watch. A run of five defeats, one draw, and one win with 23 goals conceded forced the club to relieve him of his duties, and they have turned to Jesse Marsch to save them from the drop.

Looking at Marsch’s career, he hasn’t managed a side in a relegation fight, nor has he never had a preseason with the players. This is entirely new territory for him and could make or break his reputation in Europe after his failed four months at RB Leipzig earlier this season.

Marsch is a great motivator and believer in the strength of team spirit. I think he has the tools to guide Leeds United to safety, and we will see the best of him next season after he’s had a full preseason to work with the players.


Premier League Betting: Matchday 28 Lines, Analysis and Tips

*Odds Taken from DraftKings Wednesday, March 2nd, 12:40 AM EST


  • If you like value, consider backing West Ham to Win or Draw in the Double Chance market at +270. The Hammers beat Liverpool 3-2 in Matchday 11 and will fancy their chances of getting something at Anfield.
  • I like a Same Game Parlay of Arsenal‘s Moneyline and Under 3.5 Goals at +110. I think The Gunners will be able to break down Watford‘s defense and grind out a low-scoring victory.
  • Southampton have lost once in their last 12 fixtures, winning seven of them and drawing the other four. I like The Saints on the Moneyline at +195 to beat Aston Villa, who have struggled at Villa Park in their last four matches, drawing two and losing two.
  • I think Norwich City have a shot at getting three points this weekend. Their opponents Brentford have lost seven of their last eight games and are in a tailspin towards the relegation zone. Back The Canaries on the Moneyline at +195.


In the US, you can legally bet on soccer in more than two dozen states. You can bet online in some states, but only in-person betting is allowed in most of them.

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Alex Blowers

Betting advice for the Premier League, Bundesliga & UEFA Champions League! Alex also contributes to NBC Sports Edge and TheLines. You can follow him on Twitter @AlexJBlowers

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