Premier League Matchday 11 Betting Tips: North London Derby

Posted By Alex Blowers on December 4, 2020

Fans are finally allowed back in the stadium & it will be great to see them back this weekend. A maximum of 2000 home fans can be in attendance & it all depends on what COVID-19 Tier the clubs local area is in. It will be interesting to see what effect they have on the games.

Matchday 10 was a horrible weekend with all 3 of my bets failing to hit. That resulted in a 6 Unit lost & I’m putting two of them down to bad luck.

Southampton went into halftime 2-0 up against Manchester United & looked solid to get the win or the draw. Ole Gunnar Solksjaer threw on Edinson Cavani for the second half & he showed his class. The Uruguayan produced a man of the match performance with an assist & 2 goals.

He showed excellent movement to get away from his marker for the 92nd minute winner & it PISSED me right off. My childhood was spent enduring the Alex Ferguson years & bets lost to the Red Devils always taste extra bitter.

I thought this game would be the one to kick start Sheffield United’s season. It was the same old story with The Blades failing to score again for the sixth time this season. Their xG was 3.26 with 21 shots on goal & 5 on target but they couldn’t find the back of net. With 1 point, bottom of the table & 6 points from safety Chris Wilder will look to get a goalscorer in when the transfer window opens January 1st 2021.

Who saw this Fulham performance coming? Who thought Fulham would score a penalty? I didn’t see either & hats off to Ivan Cavaleiro for stepping up after that horrible miss from the spot against Everton in Matchday 09.

Scott Parker praised his player’s courage after the game & said “We practiced penalties all week and I asked him if he was ready to take this penalty if we get one. He looked me dead in the eye and said, ‘Yeah, I am ready’.


Matchday 11’s biggest game is the North London derby between Tottenham Hotspur & Arsenal. These two bitter rivals find themselves on different trajectories & this could be a defining fixture in their season.

Mikel Arteta is days away from being a year in the job & it’s hard to tell where they are at. The Spaniard has guided them to FA Cup & Charity Shield silverware in his short time at the club. There was a lot of optimism going into the start of the season. Questions are starting to be asked about his ability with a serious dip in recent form.

The Gunners are down in 14th & have scored just two goals in their last six games. Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang’s form has fallen off a cliff with just two goals scored all season & one from open play on the opening day. However, the club captain has completely bought into Arteta’s methods & doesn’t seem phased at all. In a recent interview he stated ‘We trust the process, everyone’s following Mikel’.

Harry Kane is in a race to be fit & Jose Mourinho said earlier in the week “I think he’s going to play. That’s my feeling is that he’s going to play.” Even if he doesn’t make it I think they will have enough to come out on top. Tottenham have made a big statement in their last two games & they’ll make another one here in front of their fans.

Spurs win this by 2 or 3 goals.

Prediction – 2 Units: Tottenham Hotspur -1.5 Goals +275


Carlo Ancelotti’s side have struggled in recent games after a blistering start. It’s just one win in their last five games & 5 goals scored compared to 14 in the opening 5 games of the season. Lucas Digne’s ankle injury which has ruled him out for the next two months is a big loss. The French international leads the Premier League charts for assists from a defender & they’ll miss his quality on set-pieces.

In the summer, Sean Dyche voiced his frustrations with the board about the lack of signings & they are paying the price. This is Burnley’s fifth season in the Premier League & that run has been built around a solid defensive shape & well drilled back line. This season they have already conceded 17 goals & it looks like the wheels are coming off.

Burnley’s best defender James Tarkowski has wanted out for a while & recently revealed that contract offers have been ‘nowhere near good enough’ to convince him to stay. With 18 months left on his deal we could see him moving on in the January transfer window. 

For me, these are the signs that Burnley’s time in England’s top division is drawing to a close. Even if they stay up, I think Dyche will leave at the end of the season & that will be when things really start to fall apart.

Even with their recent bad form & Digne’s absence I can’t see beyond Everton winning this one comfortably.

Prediction – 2 Units: Everton Money Line -108


Chelsea are starting to emerge as genuine title contenders & it’s not built around their attacking football. Frank Lampard’s side have been one of the best defensive sides around in the last couple of months with eight clean sheets in their last ten games across all competitions. The experience of Thiago Silva & calmness of Edouard Mendy is a major factor in this improvement & keeping these two fit is vitally important.

Leeds United have had clean sheets in their last two games but that has been more down to luck. Everton had 2 goals ruled offside in a game which saw both sides create a combined 38 attempts on goal. Nicolas Pepe was sent off on 51 minutes for headbutting Ezgjan Alioski in their goalless draw with Arsenal.

Eight of Chelsea’s & four of Leeds matches this season have ended with over 3.5 Goals. I have a feeling this will be another high scoring & entertaining game.

Prediction – 2 Units: Over 3.5 Goals +135


Betting Tracker

UNITS: -5.96
WIN %: 16.66%
ROI: -14.90%


In the US, you can legally bet on soccer in New Jersey, Indiana and Pennsylvania.

For New Jersey, we recommend DraftKings Sportsbook NJ or FanDuel Sportsbook.

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Alex Blowers

Betting advice for the Premier League & Bundesliga! Twitter - @RegistaPicks

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