Premier League Matchday 13 Lines: Can Huge Underdog Chelsea Topple Manchester City?

Posted By High Press 10 on November 17, 2019

The Premier League returns on Saturday, November 23rd. Matchday 13 has one clear and obvious headliner: Manchester City vs Chelsea.

🤔City somehow managed to yet again receive an incredibly favorable EPL and Champions League schedule.  Yet, at least domestically, they haven’t taken advantage of it at all.

The FOURMIDABLES are 9 back of Liverpool. Any dropped points to a resurgent Chelsea here and City may officially hit the point of no return. We’ll preview this match later in the week. A lot is at stake for both squads.

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Premier League Matchday 13 Lines

HOMEDATEAWAY
Saturday, November 23rd
West Ham +225Draw +280Tottenham -104
Arsenal -200Draw +350Southampton +525
Bournemouth +165Draw +235Wolves +165
Crystal Palace +600Draw +375Liverpool -240
Brighton +250Draw +250Leicester +108
Everton -245Draw +405Norwich +600
Watford +125Draw +225Burnley +235
Manchester City -250Draw +390Chelsea +650
Sunday, November 24th
Sheffield +265Draw +215Manchester United +120
Monday, November 25th
Aston Villa +110Draw +240Newcastle +255

Odds & Ends

Taking a slightly different approach this week as many of the lines present some interesting value. These aren’t necessarily our predictions, just some guidelines based on the match lines.

  • As noted, we’ll preview the City vs Chelsea match later this week. It’s just worth pointing out that Chelsea is #1 in form currently and are +650. City isn’t coming back from the international break with any substantive improvements on the backline. While City will likely win, that +650 is awful long for a team that can absolutely punish any Sky Blue defensive lapses.
  • Leicester NOT being at a – number is somewhat surprising. While we think they’ll handle Brighton, it feels like oddsmakers are hedging for a draw.
  • Speaking of draws: Sheffield is hosting Manchester United. The Blades have been massively over-performing their xGA / xPTS while United continue to be the biggest under-performers. So go with United, right? Nah. Until Man U shows they can consistently perform on the road, look at that +215 draw price.
  • Burnley is 10th and looking pretty good. Watford in 18th and looking pretty bad. So why is Watford +125 at home? It’s because Watford’s underlying numbers suggest they’re much better than 18th. Beware of thinking Burnley is a great underdog value. They’re not.
  • Despite Arsenal’s multitude of problems, their -200 at home, where they’re rock solid, is fantastic value against Southampton.
  • Finally, in a game that should be very entertaining, it’s draw all day with Bournemouth vs Wolves.
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High Press 10 covers general global soccer stories and news. He / she finds the quality of soccer in Bend It Like Beckham to be on par with u8 rec.

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