The Premier League returns on Saturday, November 23rd. Matchday 13 has one clear and obvious headliner: Manchester City vs Chelsea.
🤔City somehow managed to yet again receive an incredibly favorable EPL and Champions League schedule. Yet, at least domestically, they haven’t taken advantage of it at all.
The FOURMIDABLES are 9 back of Liverpool. Any dropped points to a resurgent Chelsea here and City may officially hit the point of no return. We’ll preview this match later in the week. A lot is at stake for both squads.
Premier League Matchday 13 Lines
|Saturday, November 23rd|
|West Ham +225||Draw +280||Tottenham -104|
|Arsenal -200||Draw +350||Southampton +525|
|Bournemouth +165||Draw +235||Wolves +165|
|Crystal Palace +600||Draw +375||Liverpool -240|
|Brighton +250||Draw +250||Leicester +108|
|Everton -245||Draw +405||Norwich +600|
|Watford +125||Draw +225||Burnley +235|
|Manchester City -250||Draw +390||Chelsea +650|
|Sunday, November 24th|
|Sheffield +265||Draw +215||Manchester United +120|
|Monday, November 25th|
|Aston Villa +110||Draw +240||Newcastle +255|
Odds & Ends
Taking a slightly different approach this week as many of the lines present some interesting value. These aren’t necessarily our predictions, just some guidelines based on the match lines.
- As noted, we’ll preview the City vs Chelsea match later this week. It’s just worth pointing out that Chelsea is #1 in form currently and are +650. City isn’t coming back from the international break with any substantive improvements on the backline. While City will likely win, that +650 is awful long for a team that can absolutely punish any Sky Blue defensive lapses.
- Leicester NOT being at a – number is somewhat surprising. While we think they’ll handle Brighton, it feels like oddsmakers are hedging for a draw.
- Speaking of draws: Sheffield is hosting Manchester United. The Blades have been massively over-performing their xGA / xPTS while United continue to be the biggest under-performers. So go with United, right? Nah. Until Man U shows they can consistently perform on the road, look at that +215 draw price.
- Burnley is 10th and looking pretty good. Watford in 18th and looking pretty bad. So why is Watford +125 at home? It’s because Watford’s underlying numbers suggest they’re much better than 18th. Beware of thinking Burnley is a great underdog value. They’re not.
- Despite Arsenal’s multitude of problems, their -200 at home, where they’re rock solid, is fantastic value against Southampton.
- Finally, in a game that should be very entertaining, it’s draw all day with Bournemouth vs Wolves.