Matchday 20 was another clean sweep making it two weeks in a row.
My last four bets have yielded 11.046 Units of profit, and I am in the green by 5.421 Units. Now we’re past the busy festive period, I feel the league is settling down, and I’m hopeful I can keep this winning streak going.
LEEDS DO THE DOUBLE OVER NEWCASTLE
Leeds United deservedly got the 3 points against Newcastle. They dominated possession in the first half with 63%, and Raphinha put them ahead in the 19th minute. Whatever Steve Bruce said at halftime worked because his side came out fighting. Marcelo Bielsa’s side was caught trying to play out of the back, and Jonjo Shelvey fed Callum Wilson, who laid it on a plate for Miguel Almirón. The Paraguayan international’s strike was too much for Illan Meslier to keep out, and The Magpies were back in the game.
Minutes later, Raphinha cut inside and picked out Jack Harrison in acres of space. Harrison drifted into the back post as Newcastle’s defender’s ball watched and, with the outside of his boot, struck the ball on the half-volley into the corner. Bruce must have been fuming to see his side concede a sloppy goal moments after battle their way back into the game.
This makes it 11 games without a win in all competitions and 5 straight defeats in the Premier League for Newcastle. Their next 5 opponents are Everton, Crystal Palace, Southampton, Chelsea, and Manchester United. It’s not looking good, and I’m confident Steve Bruce will be the next manager to lose his job.
ARSENAL COME FROM BEHIND
Stuart Armstrong put Southampton 1-0 up after 3 minutes to give his side the perfect start. 5 minutes later, Nicolas Pépé evened the scoreline thanks to good pressing from his teammates and Alexandre Lacazette’s pinpoint through ball.
With 39 minutes gone, Lacazette played in Bukayo Saka, and he was through on goal. Alex McCarthy raced out, which made it easy for the young Arsenal star who skipped past him and scored to give Mikel Arteta’s side a 2-1 lead. On 72 minutes, these two combined again for Lacazette to get on the scoresheet. The Frenchman bravely slid for the ball and was lucky not to seriously injure himself after clattering into the post.
It was a well-deserved win for The Gunners, making it 16 points from the last 18 available. This unbeaten run has propelled Arsenal up to 9th and 7 points outside the Top 4. Who would have thought this 5/6 weeks ago? I certainly didn’t and thought Arteta would be gone by the end of 2020. He’s turned it around and proved his doubters wrong. The Board was right to stick by him.
ARSENAL VS MANCHESTER UNITED
Manchester United are coming off a shock 2-1 defeat against Sheffield United. Multiple times this season, Ole Gunnar Solksjaer’s side has started poorly and come from behind to get the 3 points. Harry Maguire scored a lovely header in the 64th minute to equalize, and everyone felt a sense of déjà vu.
It wasn’t to be as Oliver Burke scored his first goal of the campaign and the winner. United were their own worse enemies in this passage of play. David De Gea should have cleared the ball, Nemanja Matić was too slow closing down John Lundstram, and Paul Pogba has to do more. The World Cup winner can see Burke free in space but doesn’t take responsibility and is caught ball watching.
Too many times this season, Manchester United has had luck on their side to bail them out. We have Marcus Rashford’s deflected 93rd-minute winner against Wolves. Then there’s Pogba’s equalizer against West Ham when David Moyes swore the ball went out of play in the build-up. Ole & his side are Charlatans in this title race.
Arsenal is in a good moment, and everyone at the club will be relieved they have put the Mesut Özil situation to bed. Back Arteta’s side to get the 3 points and do the double over OGS.
Prediction – 2 Units: Arsenal Money Line +180
MANCHESTER CITY VS SHEFFIELD UNITED
Manchester City is one of the best teams in the world right now on current form. Pep Guardiola’s side is on an 11 game winning streak, and everything’s starting to click after their poor start to the season. They scored 5 against West Brom even with Sam Allardyce instructing his side to defend their 18-yard box with all 11 players. They did it without Sergio Aguero and Kevin De Bruyne.
Sheffield United capitalized on a poor Manchester United performance to get their second win of the season. Manchester City won’t be so generous, and I expect them to give The Blades a reality check.
The Citizens win this comfortably by 3 or 4 goals.
Prediction – 2 Units: Manchester City -2.5 Goals +120
BRIGHTON VS TOTTENHAM
Harry Kane picked up an injury in Tottenham’s 3-1 loss to Liverpool, and the Sports Books have shifted the line. Spurs have gone from +110 to +133, and I think that’s a massive overreaction.
Brighton is 17th and has only won once in their last 11 Premier League games. Graham Potter’s side has failed to beat any of the current top 9 sides in the league. They have drawn with Liverpool and West Ham and lost to the other seven.
When the news broke that Gareth Bale was returning to Tottenham, we all hoped we would see the best of him. With Kane out injured, he could finally get the run of games he needs to get back up to speed.
Even if Mourinho doesn’t turn to him, I think Spurs will have enough to get the win, and +133 is too good to turn down.
Prediction – 3 Units: Tottenham Money Line +133
SEASON BETTING RESULTS
TOTAL WINS: 14
TOTAL LOSSES: 20
WIN %: 41.17%
HOW TO BET THE PREMIER LEAGUE IN THE US
In the US, you can legally bet on soccer in New Jersey, Indiana, and Pennsylvania.