Matchday 21 was one to forget. All 3 bets failed to hit, and I lost 7 Units to bring my winning streak to an end.
Hit me up on Twitter @RegistaPicks with your thoughts, who you support, and picks for the week.
PROFESSIONAL PERFORMANCE FROM MANCHESTER CITY
Pep Guardiola rang the changes in this game with John Stones, João Cancelo, Rodri, Raheem Sterling, and Riyad Mahrez all starting on the bench. That didn’t stop Manchester City from starting strong, and 9 minutes in, Ferrán Torres battled his way to the edge of the 6-yard box. He picked out Gabriel Jesus, who scored one of the easiest goals of his career from 4 yards out.
I expected City to push on and put this game to bed for my -2.5 Goals bet to cash. They showed little ambition to build on their early lead and instead killed the game by dominating possession. It was a professional performance, and the 3 points never looked in danger. The Citizens are top of the Premier League with a 3 point cushion and a game in hand. This win makes it 12 in a row, and it’s difficult to look beyond them winning the title.
TOTTENHAM’S TOP 4 HOPES FADING
I don’t think anyone expected Tottenham to perform so badly in this game. From the opening minute, Brighton was the better side and fully deserved their win. Spurs showed very little in the final third, and they will be hoping Harry Kane returns from injury sooner rather than later.
José Mourinho started Gareth Bale, and the former world-beater was anonymous for the entirety of his 61 minutes. Spurs are 6 points behind the Top 4 with a game in hand and Chelsea, West Brom, Manchester City, and West Ham up next. It’s looking like next season will be more Europa League football, and José needs to deliver the League Cup on 25th April.
Avoid backing Tottenham to win for the next few weeks.
ANOTHER UNEVENTFUL BIG PREMIER LEAGUE FIXTURE
There isn’t much to say about this game other than I passed on watching it and so glad I did.
Again, the Premier League’s biggest fixture of the weekend failed to deliver goals, and this is becoming too much of a regular occurrence for my liking with clubs taking a don’t lose approach. Ole Gunnar Solksjaer’s side has dropped 5 points in 4 days to fall further behind Manchester City in the title race.
Manchester United against 'big six' clubs in the Premier League this season:— Goal (@goal) January 30, 2021
❌ Man Utd 1-6 Tottenham
🤝 Man Utd 0-0 Chelsea
❌ Man Utd 0-1 Arsenal
🤝 Man Utd 0-0 Man City
🤝 Liverpool 0-0 Man Utd
🤝 Arsenal 0-0 Man Utd
Six games, one goal, zero wins 😴 pic.twitter.com/BPcmTHMyM9
TOTTENHAM VS CHELSEA
I have really enjoyed Thomas Tuchel’s post-match interviews. He has been so open with his tactics, and it’s been really refreshing. He switched to a 3-4-3 for the 2-0 win over Burnley and Mason Mount, Tammy Abraham, Marcus Alonso, and Timo Werner returned to the starting lineup. He’s wiped the slate clean and giving every player a chance to impress.
This game is a must-win for Chelsea’s Top 4 hopes, whereas Tottenham has a game in hand and can afford to draw. Mourinho will set up defensively, concede possession, and hit on the counter. Chelsea will control the game, but I think they will struggle to break Spurs down, just like they did against Wolves in Matchday 2o.
I don’t see this being a high scoring game and going to back Under 2.5 Goals.
Prediction – 2 Units: Under 2.5 Goals -114
SHEFFIELD UNITED VS WEST BROM
Brighton’s victory over Tottenham puts West Brom 9 and Sheffield United 12 points from safety. Looking at their squads and goalscoring issues, I think it’s too late for both to beat the drop, but stranger things have happened. I still think both managers believe they have a chance of staying up and will be going all-out to win this game.
The Blades have struggled in the final third all season and are the league’s lowest scorers with 12. Only 5 of those have come from open play. One of Sam Allardyce’s keys to survival is drilling his sides on perfecting set-pieces both defensively and offensively. The Baggies will make it difficult for Chris Wilder’s side, and I think they are the stronger attacking team.
Allardyce’s decision to move Matheus Pereira into the center of the pitch has paid off. The Brazilian has scored 5 goals in his last 5 games (3 have come from the penalty spot). Robert Snodgrass has been a good addition bringing his Premier League attacking nouse to their front line.
Back West Brom to get something from this game.
Prediction – 2 Units: West Brom or the Draw -103
FULHAM VS LEICESTER CITY
Leicester City blew their chance to go second on Sunday with a 3-1 loss to Leeds United. They face Fulham next, who has been better in recent weeks since Scott Parker switched them to a back 3. That change has yielded 7 draws in their last 9 games, but that upturn in form hasn’t lifted them out of the relegation zone. The Cottagers are in 17th and 7 points from safety.
Jamie Vardy and Wilfried Ndidi are still 7-10 days away from returning and will be missed. James Maddison has been in brilliant form with 4 goals and 3 assists in his last 7 games. Harvey Barnes has stepped up with 5 goals and 2 assists in his last 9 appearances. I think Brendan Rodgers’s side will get back on track and win this one comfortably.
Back Leicester at -1.5 Goals.
Prediction – 1 Unit: Leicester City -1.5 Goals +255
SEASON BETTING RESULTS
TOTAL WINS: 14
TOTAL LOSSES: 23
WIN %: 37.83%
HOW TO BET THE PREMIER LEAGUE IN THE US
In the US, you can legally bet on soccer in New Jersey, Indiana, and Pennsylvania.