Premier League Matchday 25 Betting Tips: Liverpool vs Everton in the Merseyside Derby

Posted By Alex Blowers on February 19, 2021

Matchday 24 did not end well. Pierre-Emerick Aubamayang scored a hattrick past Leeds United to sink my bet for Marcel Bielsa’s side to get something out of the game. Aston Villa was dreadful against Brighton and lucky to walk away with a point. I wasn’t so lucky and finished the weekend 4 units down to put my 10 Units in the red.

Will this will be the week I spark a Mikel Arteta Esque revival?

Hit me up on Twitter @RegistaPicks with your thoughts, who you support, and picks for the week.


This Saturday, Everton travel to Anfield, the home of their biggest rivals Liverpool for the Merseyside Derby.

These two met back in mid-October in a 2-2 draw clouded with controversy. Jordan Pickford charged off his line to close down Virgil van Dijk and recklessly scythed him down in the opening minutes. England’s No.1 Leg Breaker goalkeeper escaped punishment because VAR focused their attention on an offside in the buildup and failed to review the incident. Van Dijk left the pitch soon after and won’t return until next season as he recovers from knee ligament damage.

In the 88th minute, Richarlison rightly received a red card and 3 game ban for a horrible challenge on Thiago Alcântara. No other fixture has produced more red cards (22) in the Premier League. With both sides needing to win this game I think we could see another player hitting the showers early.

Looking at the league table, these two sides are almost identical, with 7th placed Everton 3 points behind 6th placed Liverpool with a game in hand. Both sides have been pretty poor in their last 5 league games, suffering 3 defeats each, but I doubt this will be a deciding factor. In league’s all around the world, we regularly see form go out the window when two big local rivals meet.

Looking at the recent history of this fixture, Everton last beat Liverpool back on OCTOBER 17th, 2010, and last won at Anfield on SEPTEMBER 27th 1999!!!!! That is 10 and 20 years of misery for Toffee fans & I know Chops has enjoyed every second of it, lol. 

I’m the kind of guy that if I lose 4 Blackjack hands in a row, I will up my bet because surely I can’t lose 5, right? Carlo Ancelotti’s side is due a win, and 12 (52.18%) of the last 23 fixtures have finished in a draw.

Back Everton to get something from this game.

Prediction – 2 Units: Everton or the Draw +175 | 0.5 Units: Liverpool to have a player sent off YES  +850 | 0.5 Units: Everton to have a player sent off YES +700


I’m going to keep this one short because no one should need any convincing to back Manchester City at this moment.

Wednesday nights 3-1 victory over Everton made it 17 wins in a row in all competitions, and 14 of them have been by 2 goals or more. Pep Guardiola is on a 7 game winning streak against The Gunners in the Premier League, with 6 of those by 2 goals or more. Arteta went with a strong starting eleven against Benfica in the first leg of their Europa League clash. This game was moved to Rome due to COVID travel restrictions which entails a 5 hour round trip.

With the extra day of rest, I expect City to have more energy, score early and win comfortably.

Prediction – 2 Units: Manchester City -1.5 Goals +140 | 1 Unit: Manchester City To Score in Both Halves YES +128


We have two massive fixtures this Matchday for the Relegation Battle; Burnley vs. West Brom and Fulham vs. Sheffield United.

These 4 sides are the lowest-scoring teams in the division, and their average goals scored per game is terrible:

  • Burnley 0.75 goals
  • Fulham 0.83 goals
  • West Brom 0.79 goals
  • Sheffield United 0.625 Goals

As much as these 4 sides need to win, none of them can afford to lose and give a rival 3 points. These two games will be cagey affairs and both fixtures finished Under 2.5 Goals when they met earlier in the season (BUR 0-0 WBA and FUL 1-1 SHU)

Prediction – 2 Units: Parlay Under 2.5 Goals for Burnley vs. West Brom and Fulham vs. Sheffield United +165


Betting Tracker

UNITS: -10.272
WIN %: 35.55%
ROI: -25.68%


In the US, you can legally bet on soccer in New Jersey, Indiana, and Pennsylvania.

For New Jersey, we recommend DraftKings Sportsbook NJ or FanDuel Sportsbook.

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Alex Blowers

Betting advice for the Premier League & Bundesliga! Twitter - @RegistaPicks

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