Premier League Matchday 29 Betting Tips: Liverpool vs Chelsea

Posted By Alex Blowers on March 2, 2021

Just 1 of my 3 bets cashed in Matchday 26 for a small profit of 0.48 Units.

Liverpool and Tottenham got back to winning ways to cash my Money Line Parlay. My other 2 bets came up short after Chelsea was held to a 0-0 draw by boring Manchester United. This was the Red Devils 5th 0-0 of the season against a Top 6 side, and I’m with Referee Stuart Attwell. Callum Hudson-Odoi didn’t handle the ball intentionally.

Hit me up on Twitter @RegistaPicks with your thoughts, who you support, and picks for the week.


The narrative around this game will be all about Jurgen Klopp and Thomas Tuchel coming up against each other. Both started their managerial careers at Mainz 05 before moving onto Borussia Dortmund, where they made their names in Europe. Here’s a little summary of their history.

This will be the fifteenth time they have faced each other in opposite dugouts, and their first matchup was back in November 2009. Looking at their head-to-head record, Klopp has dominated with 9 wins, 3 draws, and 2 defeats. We can ignore 10 of those fixtures due to the gulf in quality and resources between Dortmund and Mainz.

That leaves 4 games where these two have met with sides of similar strength. The 2015/16 Europa League Quarterfinals and the 2018/19 Champions League Group Stage. Klopp still comes out on top with 2 wins, a draw, a loss with 9 goals scored, and 8 conceded.

With their paths so intertwined, it’s unsurprising that these two have a lot of respect for each other.

Chelsea is yet to lose under Tuchel and is on a 10 game unbeaten run in all competitions with 7 wins and 3 draws. His biggest impact has been tightening the backline with 7 clean sheets in 9 games and just 2 goals conceded. 8 of his 9 games have finished under 2.5 Goals so far.

Liverpool comes into this game off a 2-0 win over Sheffield United, which ended their 4 game losing streak in the Premier League. Their last 3 games in all competitions have ended Under 2.5 Goals. It’s highly likely the young CB pairing Ozan Kabak, and Nathaniel Phillips will continue in the heart of the defense. These two are yet to concede a goal from open play (150 minutes).

As much as they both need to win, neither can afford to lose and give a rival 3 points in the race for the Top 4. I think this game will be a tight affair, and everything points to a low-scoring game.

Prediction – 2 Units: Under 2.5 Goals +110


Aston Villa’s recent form has been all over the place with WLDWLWLWL in their last 9 games. They have only managed to string consecutive victories together three times this season. I’m very confident this will be the fourth time with their visit to Bramall Lane on Wednesday night.

Sheffield United massively overachieved last season, and this year they probably haven’t been as bad as their league position suggests. They are a hardworking side, but they can’t stop losing no matter how much they try. It’s 21 defeats from 26 games, and 14 of those have been by 1 goal.

Chris Wilder’s side is the lowest-scoring in the league with 15 and has failed to find the back of the net in 4 of their last 6 league games. They face Emiliano Martínez, who has been a rock in goal all season for Villa. He has 8 away clean sheets this season and 5 clean sheets in his last 8 games. I find it very surprising that Sports Books are pricing Aston Villa to win to nil at +230.

There’s a chance Jack Grealish will be back from injury. Even without their talismanic captain, Aston Villa will have enough to inflict another defeat on The Blades…….probably by a goal.

Prediction – 2 Units: Aston Villa Money Line +106 | 1 Unit: Aston Villa Win to Nil +230


Betting Tracker

UNITS: -6.992
WIN %: 35.18%
ROI: -17.48%


In the US, you can legally bet on soccer in New Jersey, Indiana, and Pennsylvania.

For New Jersey, we recommend DraftKings Sportsbook NJ or FanDuel Sportsbook.

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Alex Blowers

Betting advice for the Premier League & Bundesliga! Twitter - @RegistaPicks

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