Who Will Win the 2019-20 Premier League?

Chops July 10, 2019 1071 Reads
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We’re one month away from the first full matchday of the 2019-20 Premier League schedule.

Yesterday, we looked at Premier League matchday 1 odds. Today, we’ll take a quick look at which teams can win the 2019-20 Premier League trophy. We’ll do a deeper dive into this in early August once summer transfers are complete.

Further, in the coming weeks we’ll take a more in-depth look at:

  • All Premier League teams heading into the season
  • What clubs can challenge for a top 6 spot
  • What clubs are top relegation candidates
  • What Championship League teams are most likely to be promoted

Can any team challenge Manchester City or Liverpool for the title?

No.

Not even Tottenham?

Spurs don’t get enough credit for how they develop talent. They have an elite manager in Mauricio Pochettino. Tottenham have elite level players. They’ve added their recent record transfer Tanguy Ndombele. Christian Eriksen hasn’t left yet. Harry Kane, Son Heung-min, and Dele Alli are still there.

Notice I haven’t mentioned a defender yet?

Spurs is a fairly WYSIWYG squad. We know they’ll be well coached. We know they’re a threat to win any game. They’ll make it to the Champions League knockout rounds. They will snugly finish third in the Premier League. This isn’t complicated.

What about Manchester United, Chelsea and Arsenal?

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They seriously have no chance?

None.

Chelsea just shit-canned a coach who guided them to a Europa League title and top 4 finish. They’re under a transfer ban. They lost their best player. Frank Lampard, their new coach, is unproven. Or maybe not even good. He didn’t exactly have his iPhone ringing off the hook this off-season. Chelsea is the model of organizational instability. They’re taking a step back.

Arsenal appears to be adding nobody of note to a squad that didn’t crack the top 4 last year. And they lost their best midfielder.

Manchester United I actually think are making smart moves, acquiring young players with upside and heart like Daniel James and Aaron Wan-Bissaka. They need another 5 of those moves and a couple of years of growth to start challenging again. As the saying goes, they’re two years away from being two years away.

So, it’s really already down to Manchester City and Liverpool for the 2019-20 Premier League title?

Yes.

The chasm between City and Liverpool and everyone else is enormous.

First, let’s look at what betting markets say.

DraftKings Sportsbook have Manchester City as odds-on favorites at -150. Liverpool follow at +225.

The next closest odds? Tottenham at +1600.

It’s the same general odds over at FanDuel Sportsbook NJ as well.

Further, Liverpool and Manchester City just ended last season as two of the statistically best 8 teams of all time. According to ClubElo, last year’s Liverpool was actually better than City, peaking as the sixth best team ever in the history of freaking soccer.

With apologies to Vincent Kompany, neither squad lost any players of note. Financial fair play rule breaking City added high-priced Rodri to their team. They’ll likely break more rules to buy players they shouldn’t be allowed to buy. That’s how City rolls.

Liverpool get Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain and Joe Gomez back full time and expect growth from elite youngsters like Rhian Brewster. And they’re going to win 17-18 games at Anfield. They’re good.

One of these two teams is winning the Premier League. It’s a given. Just accept it and move on.

Who will it be? We’ll examine who has the best chance later this month.

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